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Captured Nov 12, 2026
Oscars prediction markets.
Best Picture. The acting races. Every craft category. Explore what Kalshi traders are pricing for the 2027 Academy Awards.
Market-implied probabilities are estimates derived from market prices, not verified probabilities or predictions by PlayPicks. Prices may change and do not guarantee outcomes.
KalshiInternational, animated & documentary
Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film
You Can See EverythingYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
68¢
NAZAYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
22¢
Once Upon a Time in HarlemYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
6¢
See 8 more contracts
American DoctorYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
4¢
MuskYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
3¢
TieYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
2¢
14thYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
2¢
Nuisance BearYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
1¢
One in a MillionYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
1¢
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a PartyYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
Last traded Yes prices; volume across all captured event outcomes.
How Oscars contracts differ
Nominated and winning are separate questions.
A film or performer can be listed in a nomination market, which settles when nominations are announced, and in a winner market, which settles on the ceremony night. Prices in the two often move apart, and a contender with no nomination has no path in the winner market.
Each category is its own contract, and venues word their rules differently: some settle on the official announcement, others on a named source. Read each contract’s rules before comparing prices across venues.
What this collection covers
We captured records for the 2027 ceremony from Kalshi’s Oscars winner and nominee series. It is source-limited, not an exhaustive inventory, and is capped at 40 events with winner categories listed before nominations.
Inspect sources and capture method
Prices are Kalshi’s last traded Yes prices from its public API. Settlement labels use explicit source resolution records. A closed market without a confirmed resolution has no result displayed.
Prices on this page come from a dated capture and don’t refresh automatically. Source links provide the venue’s latest rules and status.
Independent coverage. PlayPicks is not affiliated with or endorsed by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. Oscar®, Oscars® and Academy Awards® are trademarks of the Academy.
Your awards season feed.
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In the United States, certain event contracts are offered through Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) subject to oversight by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Regulatory arrangements and product availability differ between platforms and jurisdictions. CFTC oversight does not constitute approval or endorsement of any particular contract. Event contracts are derivatives products, not sports betting or gambling products, and are not licensed by any state gaming or gambling regulator.
Trading event contracts involves substantial risk of loss. You may lose some or all of the funds you use to trade. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes.
Nothing on this page constitutes investment, trading, or legal advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any contract. Content is for general informational purposes only.
