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Captured Nov 12, 2026

Oscars
prediction markets.

Best Picture. The acting races. Every craft category.
Explore what Kalshi traders are pricing for the 2027 Academy Awards.

View markets in the app See the markets

Image generated using AI.

344open contracts at capture
16events tracked
1venue: Kalshi
a moment in the market, not live prices

Prices are dated snapshots, not live quotes or PlayPicks forecasts. Different contract rules mean similar questions may settle differently.

This capture is more than 24 hours old. Check the original venue for current prices and market status.

Best Picture: the favourites at capture

Kalshi: Oscar Winner: Best Picture
  1. 1The Odyssey57¢
  2. 2You Can See Everything17¢
  3. 3The Black Ball15¢
  4. 4Dune: Part Three10¢
  5. 5Digger1¢
  6. 6Wild Horse Nine1¢

Oscars markets on Kalshi

1 event · 41 contracts

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Market-implied probabilities are estimates derived from market prices, not verified probabilities or predictions by PlayPicks. Prices may change and do not guarantee outcomes.

KalshiBest Picture

Oscar Winner: Best Picture

  • The OdysseyYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    57¢
  • You Can See EverythingYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    17¢
  • The Black BallYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    15¢
See 38 more contracts
  • Dune: Part ThreeYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    10¢
  • DiggerYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • Wild Horse NineYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • Project Hail MaryYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • Disclosure DayYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • FjordYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • The Social ReckoningYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • MichaelYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • The Entertainment System Is DownYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • ArtificialYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • Narnia: The Magician's NephewYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • WerwulfYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • BehemothYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • JosephineYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • Sense and SensibilityYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • I Love BoostersYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff BoothYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • Avengers: DoomsdayYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • The Death of Robin HoodYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • The DramaYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • InkYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • All of a SuddenYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • Cry to HeavenYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • TieYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • 1949 / FatherlandYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • Paper TigerYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • HopeYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • MinotaurYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • Parallel TalesYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • Jack of SpadesYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • ObsessionYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • The DebutYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • ElsinoreYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • The InviteYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • Club KidYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • Being HeumannYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • PrimetimeYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
  • Tender Loving CareYes price · Closes Dec 31, 2027
    1¢
11.9M contracts tradedSource & rules

Last traded Yes prices; volume across all captured event outcomes.

How Oscars contracts differ

Nominated and winning are separate questions.

A film or performer can be listed in a nomination market, which settles when nominations are announced, and in a winner market, which settles on the ceremony night. Prices in the two often move apart, and a contender with no nomination has no path in the winner market.

Each category is its own contract, and venues word their rules differently: some settle on the official announcement, others on a named source. Read each contract’s rules before comparing prices across venues.

What this collection covers

We captured records for the 2027 ceremony from Kalshi’s Oscars winner and nominee series. It is source-limited, not an exhaustive inventory, and is capped at 40 events with winner categories listed before nominations.

Inspect sources and capture method

Prices are Kalshi’s last traded Yes prices from its public API. Settlement labels use explicit source resolution records. A closed market without a confirmed resolution has no result displayed.

Prices on this page come from a dated capture and don’t refresh automatically. Source links provide the venue’s latest rules and status.

Independent coverage. PlayPicks is not affiliated with or endorsed by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. Oscar®, Oscars® and Academy Awards® are trademarks of the Academy.

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Follow every Oscars question in the PlayPicks app.

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Important information

In the United States, certain event contracts are offered through Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) subject to oversight by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Regulatory arrangements and product availability differ between platforms and jurisdictions. CFTC oversight does not constitute approval or endorsement of any particular contract. Event contracts are derivatives products, not sports betting or gambling products, and are not licensed by any state gaming or gambling regulator.

Trading event contracts involves substantial risk of loss. You may lose some or all of the funds you use to trade. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes.

Nothing on this page constitutes investment, trading, or legal advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any contract. Content is for general informational purposes only.