Oscars
prediction markets.

Nominated and winning are separate questions.

A film or performer can be listed in a nomination market, which settles when nominations are announced, and in a winner market, which settles on the ceremony night. Prices in the two often move apart, and a contender with no nomination has no path in the winner market.

Each category is its own contract, and venues word their rules differently: some settle on the official announcement, others on a named source. Read each contract’s rules before comparing prices across venues.

What this collection covers

We captured records for the 2027 ceremony from Kalshi’s Oscars winner and nominee series. It is source-limited, not an exhaustive inventory, and is capped at 40 events with winner categories listed before nominations.