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Oscars prediction markets

Check the ceremony edition, award category and official decision.

An Academy Award question needs an exact category and ceremony edition. Eligibility, submission, nomination and the final award are different stages. Use the contract’s wording to identify which stage is being measured.

The Academy publishes category-specific rules and eligibility resources. Those references supply context, while the contract must identify the announcement or record that controls settlement. A contract about an actor or a television announcement is not an Academy Award contract.

See the Oscars markets on Kalshi and Polymarket, captured with dated source prices.

Read the measurement rules

  • Confirm the category and ceremony edition.
  • Distinguish eligibility, nomination and the final award.
  • Read replacement, withdrawal and official-announcement provisions.

Markets in the PlayPicks app

PlayPicks app snapshot: Nov 5, 2026, 12:41 UTC. Prices are dated, not live.

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Sources and scope

Checked November 5, 2026.

These links provide background; they do not set the settlement terms of any specific contract.

Important information

In the United States, certain event contracts are offered through Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) subject to oversight by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Regulatory arrangements and product availability differ between platforms and jurisdictions. CFTC oversight does not constitute approval or endorsement of any particular contract. Event contracts are derivatives products, not sports betting or gambling products, and are not licensed by any state gaming or gambling regulator.

Trading event contracts involves substantial risk of loss. You may lose some or all of the funds you use to trade. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes.

Nothing on this page constitutes investment, trading, or legal advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any contract. Content is for general informational purposes only.