How PlayPicks compares prediction markets
Contract identity, timestamps, costs, and human review are the basis of a useful comparison.
On this page
Match the contract before comparing its price
A similar title is not a match. Each comparison records the underlying event, outcome, threshold, timeframe, resolution source, and material cancellation rules. Stable provider IDs identify the records. A named reviewer records the equivalence decision and its evidence.
A lowest-price claim has a narrow meaning
Only executable quotes for the same side and stated size can support a lowest-price claim. The comparison must include fees, bid/ask spread, available depth, and the named venues checked at the displayed time. Missing fees or depth make the comparison incomplete.
Prices stay in stable source order. Affiliate compensation does not set the order. Dollar turnover and contract counts remain separate, and routed liquidity is not counted twice.
How we label out-of-date prices
If an update fails, the page keeps the last recorded value with its original time and labels it as out of date. A value is never shown as live when it is not.
How we build price history
A price history chart uses only recorded values with a known source. Gaps stay as gaps: no value is filled in or estimated. Resolved events keep their page, final result and settlement source.
Documentation, observations and testing answer different questions
Product documentation tells us what a provider describes. A recorded market observation records what the source displayed at a particular time. A hands-on test describes what a named tester experienced under stated conditions. We identify these evidence types instead of presenting one as another.
Source-based research can explain a documented charge or account restriction. It cannot establish how consistently a service performs or how quickly a different person will receive funds. Third-party test observations retain their original attribution and circumstances.
What happens when a comparison is incomplete
Missing values remain unavailable. We do not estimate an unknown fee from another product, infer a current quote from an older capture or treat no observation as a zero. Related contracts remain related until their material settlement conditions match.
Readers should be able to follow a conclusion back to its evidence. Source links, observation times and the reasons for excluding a comparison therefore belong next to the finding rather than in an unexplained score.
Sources and citation
PlayPicks analysis is original synthesis. Linked provider documents remain the primary source for their own contract terms.