The Chicago Sky (9-15) will try to halt a five-game home losing skid when hosting the Phoenix Mercury (6-17) on July 30, 2023.
Our computer predictions below will help you pick what are the best bets available for Sunday’s game.
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Spread: Sky (-7) to Cover
- The Sky are the bet in this matchup. They’re favored by 4.6 more points in the model than DraftKings (11.6 to 7).
- The Sky’s ATS record is 11-10-0 this season.
- The Mercury are 6-15-0 against the spread this year.
- In games it has played as at least a 7-point underdog this season, Phoenix is 1-5 against the spread.
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Total: Over 155
- The model projects a total (165.8 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (155 points). Take the over.
- This year, the Sky games have gone over 155 points scored, their current matchup’s point total, 11 (out of 21) times.
- This year, 13 of Phoenix’s 21 games have had a combined total of more than 155 points scored.
- Sky games have hit the over in nine out of 21 opportunities (42.9%).
- Mercury games have hit the over in nine out of 21 opportunities (42.9%).
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Moneyline Winner: Sky (-300)
- Prediction: Sky 89, Mercury 77
- Chicago has won four of the nine games when it was favored on the moneyline this season (44.4%).
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Sky Leaders
- The Sky scoring leader is Kahleah Copper, who averages 18.6 per contest to go with 4.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists.
- Alanna Smith leads Chicago in rebounding, averaging 6.9 per game, while Courtney Williams leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 6.0 in each contest.
- Marina Mabrey makes more threes per game than any other member of the Sky, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.9 per contest.
- The Chicago steals leader is Smith, who averages 1.4 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Elizabeth Williams, who compiles 1.8 rejections per contest.
Sky Injuries
| Name | Game Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Rebekah Gardner | Out | Foot |
| Isabelle Harrison | Out | Knee |
Mercury Leaders
- Brittney Griner averages 18.2 points per game to be the top scorer for the Mercury.
- Brianna Turner puts up a stat line of 6.0 rebounds, 3.3 points and 1.4 assists per game for Phoenix to take the top rebound spot on the team. Sug Sutton has the top spot for assists with 4.8 per game, adding 8.4 points and 2.6 rebounds per matchup.
- Sophie Cunningham is consistent from deep and leads the Mercury with 2.0 made threes per game.
- Moriah Jefferson (1.1 steals per game) is the steal leader for Phoenix while Griner (1.7 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Mercury Injuries
| Name | Game Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins-Smith | Out | Personal |
All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.
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