Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty WNBA Finals Game 3 Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – October 15

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 12, 2023

The Las Vegas Aces and New York Liberty are playing in the WNBA Finals, with Game 3 coming up.

Our computer predictions for Sunday’s game can help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.

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Spread: Liberty (-2) to Cover

  • The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.2 points of the model. Stay away from this one.
  • The Liberty have gone 16-23-0 ATS this year.
  • New York has a 1-4 record against the spread when an underdog by 2 points or more this season.
  • The Aces are 23-20-0 against the spread this season.
  • In games this season it was favored by 2 points or more, Las Vegas has a 23-19 record against the spread.

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Total: Under 172.5

  • The model projects a total 2.4 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
  • Out of 43 games thus far this season, the Aces have had 22 with more than 172.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total.
  • New York’s games have gone over 172.5 total points scored in 20 of 39 total matchups this year.
  • In the Aces’ 39 games with a set total, 22 have hit the over (56.4%).
  • The teams have hit the over in 24 of the Liberty’s 39 games with a set total.

Will this matchup go under the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Aces (-130)

  • Prediction: Aces 86, Liberty 84
  • This season, New York has won one out of the five games in which it has been the underdog.

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Aces Leaders

  • The Aces leader in points and rebounds is A’ja Wilson, who scores 22.9 points and grabs 9.5 rebounds per game.
  • Chelsea Gray is Las Vegas’ best passer, dispensing 7.3 assists per game while scoring 15.3 PPG.
  • Kelsey Plum leads the Aces in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.4 shots per game from beyond the arc.
  • The Las Vegas steals leader is Gray, who averages 1.4 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Wilson, who compiles 2.2 rejections per contest.

Aces Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Candace Parker Out Foot

Liberty Leaders

  • The Liberty’s leader in scoring and rebounding is Breanna Stewart with 23.0 points and 9.3 rebounds per game.
  • Courtney Vandersloot dishes out more assists than any other New York teammate with 8.1 per game. She also averages 10.5 points and grabs 3.5 rebounds per game.
  • Sabrina Ionescu is the top scorer from distance for the Liberty, hitting 3.6 threes per game.
  • New York’s leader in steals and blocks is Stewart with 1.5 steals and 1.6 blocks per game.

Liberty Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Stefanie Dolson Out Ankle

All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.

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