The New York Liberty and Las Vegas Aces are playing in the WNBA Finals, with Game 4 coming up.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you pick what are the best bets available for Wednesday’s game.
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Spread: Aces (-6) to Cover
- The model line is much more favorable to the Aces compared to the DraftKings line, a 7.0 point difference, and has them favored to win Wednesday’s game outright. Put your money on the Aces.
- The Aces’ ATS record is 23-21-0 this year.
- The Liberty have gone 17-23-0 ATS this season.
- New York has a 14-18 record against the spread in games it was favored by 6 points or more this season.
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Total: Over 169
- The model’s predicted total (169.9 points) and the DraftKings set total (169 points) are virtually the same for this contest.
- The Liberty and their opponent have combined to score over 169 points, the current matchup’s over/under, in 21 of 40 games this season.
- Las Vegas has played in 24 games this season (54.5% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 169 points.
- Liberty games have gone over the point total in 24 out of 44 opportunities (54.5%).
- A total of 22 of the Aces’ 44 games with a set total have hit the over (50%).
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Moneyline Winner: Liberty (-250)
- Prediction: Aces 85, Liberty 84
- Las Vegas lost the only game it has played as the underdog this season.
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Liberty Leaders
- The scoring and rebounding leader for the Liberty is Breanna Stewart, who averages 23.0 points and 9.3 rebounds per game.
- Courtney Vandersloot is New York’s best passer, distributing 8.1 assists per game while scoring 10.5 PPG.
- Sabrina Ionescu leads the Liberty in three-point shooting, making an average of 3.6 shots per game from beyond the arc.
- The New York leader in both steals and blocks is Stewart, who averages 1.5 takeaways and 1.6 rejections per game.
Liberty Injuries
| Name | Game Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Stefanie Dolson | Out | Ankle |
Aces Leaders
- Kelsey Plum hits 2.4 three-pointers per game, the most on the Aces.
- A’ja Wilson is at the top of the Las Vegas steals and blocks leaderboards with 1.4 steals per game and 2.2 blocks per game.
Aces Injuries
| Name | Game Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker | Out | Foot |
| Chelsea Gray | Out | Foot |
| Kiah Stokes | Out | Foot |
All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.
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