Two of the WNBA’s top scorers — Rhyne Howard (eighth, 19.0 points per game) and Brittney Griner (10th, 18.3) — face off when the Atlanta Dream (12-10) host the Phoenix Mercury (6-16) on July 25, 2023 on ESPN3, BSSE, and AZFamily.
Our computer predictions for Tuesday’s game may help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Mercury (-7.5) to Cover
- The Dream are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (7.5 to 3.3 points). Take the Mercury and the points.
- The Mercury’s ATS record is 6-14-0 this year.
- Phoenix is 1-4 against the spread when an underdog by 7.5 points or more this year.
- So far this season, the Dream have put together a 12-5-0 record against the spread.
- Atlanta is 1-1 against the spread when favored by 7.5 points or more this season.
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Total: Over 163.5
- The DraftKings total for this game, 163.5 points, and the model’s projected total, 162.7 points, are only 0.8 points apart.
- The Dream and their opponent have combined to score over 163.5 points, the current matchup’s over/under, in 11 of 17 games this season.
- This year, nine of Phoenix’s 20 games have had a combined total of more than 163.5 points scored.
- Nine of the Dream’s 20 games with a set total have hit the over (45%).
- Nine of the Mercury’s 20 games with a set total have hit the over (45%).
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Moneyline Winner: Dream (-300)
- Prediction: Dream 83, Mercury 80
- Atlanta has been a moneyline favorite five times this season. They’ve finished 4-1 in those games.
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Dream Leaders
- The Dream leader in points and assists is Howard, who puts up 19.0 points per game to go with 3.6 assists.
- Cheyenne Parker is Atlanta’s best rebounder, hauling in an average of 7.4 boards in each contest while scoring 14.1 points per game.
- The Dream get the most three-point shooting production out of Howard, who knocks down 2.9 threes per game.
- The Atlanta steals leader is Howard, who averages 1.3 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Parker, who compiles 1.3 rejections per contest.
Dream Injuries
| Name | Game Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Aari McDonald | Out | Torn Labrum |
Mercury Leaders
- Griner is the top scorer for the Mercury with 18.3 points per game. She also adds 6.6 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game to her statistics.
- Brianna Turner puts up a stat line of 6.1 rebounds, 3.4 points and 1.5 assists per game for Phoenix to take the top rebound spot on the team. Sug Sutton holds the top spot for assists with 4.9 per game, adding 8.6 points and 2.6 rebounds per matchup.
- Phoenix’s leader in steals is Moriah Jefferson with 1.1 per game, and its leader in blocks is Griner with 1.7 per game.
Mercury Injuries
| Name | Game Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | Out | Quadricep |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith | Out | Personal |
All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.
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