Two of the league’s top scorers — A’ja Wilson (sixth, 19.6 points per game) and Nneka Ogwumike (fifth, 19.8) — take the court when the Las Vegas Aces (18-2) visit the Los Angeles Sparks (7-12) on July 12, 2023 on CBS Sports Network.
Keep reading to dig into the best bets you can make on Wednesday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Sparks (-12.5) to Cover
- The model and DraftKings both have the Aces taking home the win, but the model has them winning by slightly less (11.2 points). Lean towards taking the Sparks.
- The Sparks are 8-10-0 ATS this season.
- In games it has played as at least a 12.5-point underdog this year, Los Angeles is 1-1 against the spread.
- The Aces have an 8-8-0 record against the spread this season.
- Las Vegas is 7-6 against the spread when favored by 12.5 points or more this season.
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Total: Over 169.5
- The DraftKings total for this game, 169.5 points, and the model’s projected total, 169.3 points, are only 0.2 points apart.
- This season, the Aces games have gone over 169.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under, nine (out of 16) times.
- Los Angeles’ games have gone over 169.5 total points scored in six of 18 total matchups this season.
- The Aces have gone over in seven of their 18 games with a set total (38.9%).
- The teams have hit the over in nine of the Sparks’ 18 games with a set total.
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Moneyline Winner: Aces (-1050)
- Prediction: Aces 90, Sparks 79
- Las Vegas is 15-1 in games when favored on the moneyline (winning 93.8% of those games).
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Aces Leaders
- Wilson leads the Aces in scoring and rebounding, accumulating 19.6 points and 9.2 rebounds per game.
- Chelsea Gray is Las Vegas’ best passer, dispensing 6.6 assists per game while scoring 14.8 PPG.
- Jackie Young makes more threes per game than any other member of the Aces, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.4 per contest.
- Gray and Wilson lead Las Vegas on the defensive end, with Gray leading the team in steals, averaging 1.5 per game, and Wilson in blocks, averaging 2.2 per contest.
Aces Injuries
| Name | Game Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Riquna Williams | Out | Back |
Sparks Leaders
- Ogwumike puts up 19.8 points and 9.5 rebounds per game for the Sparks, making him the leading scorer and rebounder on the squad.
- Jordin Canada’s assist statline leads Los Angeles; she records 5.6 assists per game.
- Karlie Samuelson knocks down 1.5 three-pointers per game, the most on the Sparks.
- Ogwumike is at the top of the Los Angeles steals and blocks leaderboards with 1.7 steals per game and 0.7 blocks per game.
Sparks Injuries
| Name | Game Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Lexie Brown | Out | Illness |
| Layshia Clarendon | Out | Foot |
| Nia Clouden | Out | Knee |
| Katie Lou Samuelson | Out | Personal |
All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.
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