A pair of the WNBA’s top scorers — Arike Ogunbowale (third, 22.4 points per game) and Brittney Griner (eighth, 19.1) — match up when the Dallas Wings (6-8) visit the Phoenix Mercury (2-10) on June 27, 2023 on CBS Sports Network, AZFamily, and BSSWX.
Our computer predictions for Tuesday’s game will help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Mercury (-3) to Cover
- The model and DraftKings both have the Wings taking home the victory, but the model has them winning by slightly less (0.4 points). Lean towards taking the Mercury.
- The Mercury have only covered the spread two times in 11 opportunities this year.
- Phoenix has not yet covered the spread as an underdog of 3 points or more this season (0-5).
- The Wings are 4-8-0 against the spread this season.
- Dallas has a 3-4 record against the spread this season when favored by 3 points or more.
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Total: Over 167.5
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 2.4 points highter than the model projection.
- Out of 12 games so far this year, the Wings have had six with more than 167.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under.
- Four of Phoenix’s 11 games this season have had more than 167.5 total points scored.
- Wings games have hit the over in six out of 11 opportunities (54.5%).
- Seven of the Mercury’s 11 games with a set total have hit the over (63.6%).
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Moneyline Winner: Wings (-165)
- Prediction: Wings 83, Mercury 82
- Dallas has a 5-4 record in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 55.6% of those games).
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Wings Leaders
- Ogunbowale leads the Wings in points and assists per game, scoring 22.4 points and distributing 4.4 assists.
- Dallas’ best rebounder is Satou Sabally, who averages 9.9 boards per game in addition to her 18.6 PPG average.
- Ogunbowale makes more threes per game than any other member of the Wings, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.8 per contest.
- Sabally and Natasha Howard lead Dallas on the defensive end, with Sabally leading the team in steals, averaging 1.6 per game, and Howard in blocks, averaging 1.4 per contest.
Wings Injuries
| Name | Game Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Lou Lopez Senechal | Out | Knee |
| Diamond DeShields | Out | Knee |
Mercury Leaders
- Griner is the top scorer for the Mercury with 19.1 points per game. She also adds 6.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game to her statistics.
- Brianna Turner puts up a stat line of 5.6 rebounds, 2.6 points and 1.3 assists per game for Phoenix to take the top rebound spot on the team. Sug Sutton has the top spot for assists with 5.7 per game, adding 11.2 points and 2.7 rebounds per contest.
- Sophie Cunningham knocks down 2.0 three-pointers per game, the most on the Mercury.
- Phoenix’s leader in steals is Michaela Onyenwere (0.8 per game), and its leader in blocks is Griner (2.4 per game).
Mercury Injuries
| Name | Game Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Shey Peddy | Out | Achilles |
| Megan Gustafson | Out | Concussion |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith | Out | Personal |
All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.
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