The Phoenix Mercury (2-7) face the New York Liberty (6-3) on June 18, 2023 at Barclays Center.
Our computer predictions for Sunday’s game may help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Mercury (-12.5) to Cover
- The spread for this game suggested by the model (6.1 points) is considerably less than the 12.5-point edge BetMGM gives to the Liberty, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Mercury to cover.
- The Mercury are 2-6-0 against the spread this season.
- The Liberty are 3-5-0 against the spread this season.
- New York is winless against the spread (0-2) when playing as at least 12.5-point favorites.
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Total: Over 162.5
- The model projects a total 1.4 points higher than the one set by BetMGM for this game.
- Liberty games have gone over 162.5 points scored, their current matchup’s point total, five times (out of eight) this season.
- Phoenix has played in six games this year (75% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 162.5 points.
- Four of the Liberty’s games with a set total have hit the over (0%).
- The teams have hit the over in four of the Mercury’s games with a set total.
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Moneyline Winner: Liberty (-909)
- Prediction: Liberty 85, Mercury 79
- New York has compiled a 5-3 record in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 62.5% of those games).
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Liberty Leaders
- The scoring and rebounding leader for the Liberty is Breanna Stewart, who averages 23.4 points and 10.4 rebounds per game.
- New York’s best passer is Courtney Vandersloot, who averages 8.9 assists per game to go with her 10.6 PPG scoring average.
- The Liberty get the most three-point shooting production out of Sabrina Ionescu, who knocks down 3.4 threes per game.
- Stewart is New York’s leader in steals and blocks, racking up 1.8 steals and 2.3 blocks per game.
Liberty Injuries
| Name | Game Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jocelyn Willoughby | Out | Quadricep |
Mercury Leaders
- Sophie Cunningham makes two three-pointers per game, the most on the Mercury.
Mercury Injuries
| Name | Game Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | Out | Hamstring |
| Brittney Griner | Out | Hip |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith | Out | Personal |
All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.
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