In Game 1 of the first round of the WNBA Playoffs, the New York Liberty will go up against the Washington Mystics.
Dig into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) in Friday’s game, before you place an informed wager on the matchup.
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Spread: Liberty (-10) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Liberty favored by 10, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (12.9 points).
- The Liberty are 15-20-0 against the spread this season.
- New York has a 6-12 record against the spread in games it was favored by 10 points or more this season.
- The Mystics’ ATS record is 18-18-0 this season.
- Washington is 4-1 against the spread when an underdog by 10 points or more this year.
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Total: Over 163.5
- The model projects a total 1.8 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
- Liberty games have gone over 163.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total, 23 times (out of 35) this season.
- Washington has played in 12 games this season (33.3% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 163.5 points.
- Out of the Liberty’s 36 games with a set total, 20 have hit the over (55.6%).
- A total of 14 of the Mystics’ 36 games with a set total have hit the over (38.9%).
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Moneyline Winner: Liberty (-520)
- Prediction: Liberty 89, Mystics 76
- Washington has been the underdog in 13 games this season and won three (23.1%) of those contests.
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Liberty Leaders
- Breanna Stewart leads the Liberty in scoring and rebounding, tallying 23.0 points and 9.3 boards per game.
- New York’s best passer is Courtney Vandersloot, who averages 8.1 assists per game to go with her 10.5 PPG scoring average.
- The Liberty get the most three-point shooting production out of Sabrina Ionescu, who makes 3.6 threes per game.
- Stewart is New York’s leader in steals and blocks, racking up 1.5 steals and 1.6 blocks per game.
Liberty Injuries
| Name | Game Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Stefanie Dolson | Out | Ankle |
Mystics Leaders
- Brittney Sykes is at the top of the Mystics scoring leaderboard with 15.9 points per game. She also collects 5.0 rebounds and racks up 3.8 assists per game.
- Washington’s leader in rebounds is Tianna Hawkins with 5.0 per game, and its leader in assists is Natasha Cloud with 6.2 per game.
- Sykes is the top scorer from distance for the Mystics, hitting 1.4 threes per game.
- Washington’s leader in steals is Sykes (2.1 per game), and its leader in blocks is Queen Egbo (0.6 per game).
Mystics Injuries
| Name | Game Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Ariel Atkins | Out | Nose |
| Shakira Austin | Out | Hip |
| Kristi Toliver | Out For Season | Knee |
All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.
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