Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – September 10

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 10, 2023

The Phoenix Mercury (9-30) will try to snap a 10-game losing stretch when visiting the Las Vegas Aces (33-6) on September 10, 2023 at T-Mobile Arena.

Aiming to gain an edge on Sunday’s game? Dig into the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) in the article below.

Ready to put your picks to the test? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and bet on this matchup today!

Spread: Aces (-20.5) to Cover

  • The model projects the Aces to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by slightly more points (22.1 to 20.5).
  • The Aces are 18-17-0 against the spread this season.
  • So far this year, the Mercury have compiled a 10-25-0 record against the spread.

Think the Aces will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 166

  • The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 1.4 points lower than the model projection.
  • This year, the Aces games have finished over 166 points scored, their current matchup’s total, 22 (out of 35) times.
  • This season, 13 of Phoenix’s 35 games have had a combined total higher than 166 points scored.
  • Aces games have hit the over in 18 out of 35 opportunities (51.4%).
  • A total of 16 of the Mercury’s 35 games with a set total have hit the over (45.7%).

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Aces (-3600)

  • Prediction: Aces 95, Mercury 73
  • Las Vegas is 30-4 in games when favored on the moneyline (winning 88.2% of those games).

Which team do you think will end up victorious? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Aces Leaders

  • The scoring and rebounding leader for the Aces is A’ja Wilson, who averages 22.5 points and 9.5 rebounds per game.
  • Las Vegas’ best passer is Chelsea Gray, who averages 7.3 assists per game to go with her 15.1 PPG scoring average.
  • Kelsey Plum leads the Aces in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.3 shots per game from beyond the arc.
  • Gray is Las Vegas’ leader in steals, averaging 1.5 steals per game, while Wilson leads them in blocks with 2.2 per contest.

Aces Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Candace Parker Out Foot
Riquna Williams Out Back

Mercury Leaders

  • Brittney Griner is at the top of the Mercury scoring leaderboard with 17.4 points per game. She also collects 6.4 rebounds and dishes out 2.2 assists per game.
  • Brianna Turner puts up a stat line of 6.3 rebounds, 3.5 points and 1.3 assists per game for Phoenix to take the top rebound spot on the team. Sug Sutton has the top spot for assists with 4.7 per game, adding 8.1 points and 2.5 rebounds per contest.
  • Sophie Cunningham is the top scorer from the three-point line for the Mercury, hitting 1.9 threes per game.
  • Phoenix’s leader in steals is Moriah Jefferson with 1.1 per game, and its leader in blocks is Griner with 1.6 per game.

Mercury Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Skylar Diggins-Smith Out Personal

All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.

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