New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – September 7

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 7, 2023

Breanna Stewart will lead the New York Liberty (31-7) into a matchup against the Los Angeles Sparks (16-22) one game after scoring 40 points in a 94-93 win over the Wings.

Dig into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) for Thursday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the matchup.

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Spread: Sparks (-13.5) to Cover

  • The model favors the Liberty by 12.8 points, just 0.7 less than the 13.5-point spread set by DraftKings.
  • The Sparks are 20-15-0 ATS this season.
  • When it has played as at least a 13.5-point underdog this year, Los Angeles is 1-1 against the spread.
  • The Liberty are 15-18-0 against the spread this season.
  • New York is 0-5 against the spread when favored by 13.5 points or more this season.

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Total: Over 161

  • In this game, the model projects a total (164.8 points) slightly higher than the DraftKings over/under (161 points).
  • Liberty games have gone over 161 points scored, their current matchup’s total, 23 times (out of 33) this season.
  • This year, 15 of Los Angeles’ 35 total matchups have gone over 161 total points scored.
  • A total of 18 of the Liberty’s 35 games with a set total have hit the over (51.4%).
  • In the Sparks’ 35 games with a set total, 15 have hit the over (42.9%).

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Liberty (-900)

  • Prediction: Liberty 89, Sparks 76
  • New York has won 25 of the 30 games when it was favored on the moneyline this season (83.3%).

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Liberty Leaders

  • Stewart leads the Liberty in scoring and rebounding, putting up 23.3 points and 9.4 rebounds per game.
  • Courtney Vandersloot is New York’s best passer, dishing out 8.1 assists per game while scoring 10.7 PPG.
  • Sabrina Ionescu makes more threes per game than any other member of the Liberty, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.5 per contest.
  • Stewart is a standout on the defensive end for New York, leading the team in steals with 1.5 per game and blocks with 1.6 per contest.

Liberty Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Stefanie Dolson Out Ankle

Sparks Leaders

  • The Sparks’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Nneka Ogwumike with 19.1 points and 8.9 rebounds per game.
  • Los Angeles’ assist leader is Jordin Canada with 6.0 per game. She also averages 13.4 points per game and tacks on 3.2 rebounds per game.
  • Karlie Samuelson is reliable from deep and leads the Sparks with 1.4 made threes per game.
  • Canada (2.2 steals per game) is the steal leader for Los Angeles while Azura Stevens (0.8 blocks per game) is the block leader.

Sparks Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Lexie Brown Out For Season Illness
Chiney Ogwumike Out Foot
Nia Clouden Out Knee
Katie Lou Samuelson Out Personal

All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.

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