Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – September 3

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 3, 2023

The Phoenix Mercury (9-27) will attempt to halt a 14-game road losing skid at the Minnesota Lynx (18-19) on September 3, 2023.

Our computer predictions in this article will help you pick what are the best bets available for Sunday’s game.

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Spread: Mercury (-7.5) to Cover

  • The spread for this game suggested by the model (6.0 points) is a little bit less than the 7.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Lynx, though the data still has them as the favorite.
  • The Mercury’s ATS record is 10-22-0 this season.
  • Phoenix has a 3-8 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 7.5 points or more.
  • The Lynx’s ATS record is 17-16-0 this season.

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Total: Over 157

  • In this game, the model projects a total (162.8 points) a little higher than the DraftKings over/under (157 points).
  • The Lynx have played 22 games with over 157 points scored, their current matchup’s point total, this season.
  • This year, 18 of Phoenix’s 32 total matchups have gone over 157 total points scored.
  • Out of the Lynx’s 32 games with a set total, 19 have hit the over (59.4%).
  • The Mercury have gone over in 13 of their 32 games with a set total (40.6%).

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Lynx (-355)

  • Prediction: Lynx 84, Mercury 78
  • Phoenix has entered the game as the underdog 25 times this season and won four, or 16%, of those games.

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Lynx Leaders

  • The Lynx leader in points and rebounds is Napheesa Collier, who scores 21.3 points and pulls down 8.2 boards per game.
  • Dorka Juhasz is Minnesota’s best passer, dispensing 2.4 assists per game while scoring 5.9 PPG.
  • Kayla McBride leads the Lynx in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.2 shots per game from beyond the arc.
  • Collier is a standout on the defensive end for Minnesota, leading the team in steals with 1.6 per game and blocks with 1.1 per contest.

Lynx Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Jessica Shepard Out Ankle
Lindsay Allen Out Thumb
Natalie Achonwa Out Personal

Mercury Leaders

  • Brittney Griner is the top scorer for the Mercury with 17.8 points per game. She also adds 6.6 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game to her stats.
  • The Phoenix leaders in rebounding and assists are Brianna Turner with 6.3 rebounds per game (he also adds 3.6 points and 1.3 assists per game) and Sug Sutton with 4.5 assists per game (he also tacks on 7.9 points and 2.3 rebounds per game).
  • Diana Taurasi is reliable from deep and leads the Mercury with 2.5 made threes per game.
  • Moriah Jefferson (1.2 steals per game) is the steal leader for Phoenix while Griner (1.8 blocks per game) is the block leader.

Mercury Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Skylar Diggins-Smith Out Personal

All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.

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