Today’s prediction market price changes
Inspect changes within the UTC calendar day of your chosen analysis time. A single quote cannot establish a daily move.
Read an intraday prediction-market series
The daily view starts at midnight UTC on your selected analysis date. That is a calendar boundary, not a rolling 24-hour window or the event’s local timezone. Choose the analysis time explicitly before interpreting which observations belong to the day.
For each exact contract and outcome, compare the earliest and latest qualifying observations inside that boundary. An observation from the previous evening can provide background, but it is outside this day’s measured change. If only one reading remains, the movement is unmeasured; an unchanged chart would imply more evidence than the series contains.
Use the daily view to inspect a short interval around a release or announcement using your own time series. Preserve source timestamps, quote type and venue. A move between two snapshots cannot identify which news item caused it or establish a forecast’s accuracy. Compare a broader weekly window when the day contains too few observations.
Measure a move inside one UTC day
Paste your own observations as JSON, in the format set out on the price research page.
This page has no live price data. Paste your own price series to analyze it.
Sources and scope
Checked November 5, 2026.