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World & GeopoliticsApp snapshot

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

AI-generated

This summary was created with AI from verified sources and reviewed before publication. See the original source for the full story.

Read the original source: Original event definition and rules

This contract follows the person formally appointed after the 2026 selection process. A recommendation from the Security Council alone is not the qualifying appointment.

Open in PlayPicks

Polymarket international lists this contract; PlayPicks shows it in the app and does not operate it.

About this market

The rules exclude interim or caretaker appointments and provide an Other fallback if the required appointment has not occurred by their June 2027 deadline.

Market source
Polymarket international
Question format
Multiple outcome labels

What determines the result?

  • Find a formal appointment rather than only a recommendation.
  • Apply the interim-role exclusion and final deadline.
  • Reconcile the source’s candidate list with the captured app rows.

Market outcomes

Keep the app’s captured names and values intact. The source now includes additional candidate labels, so the app rows are not a complete current candidate list.

Market-implied probabilities are estimates derived from market prices, not verified probabilities or predictions by PlayPicks. Prices may change and do not guarantee outcomes.

Outcomes may overlap; percentages are not normalized.

  • Rebeca Grynspan34%
  • Rafael Grossi21%
  • Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett9%
  • Macky Sall2%
  • Michelle Bachelet3%
  • Olara Otunnu20%
  • María Fernanda Espinosa11%
  • Ivonne de Baki0%

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Important information

In the United States, certain event contracts are offered through Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) subject to oversight by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Regulatory arrangements and product availability differ between platforms and jurisdictions. CFTC oversight does not constitute approval or endorsement of any particular contract. Event contracts are derivatives products, not sports betting or gambling products, and are not licensed by any state gaming or gambling regulator.

Trading event contracts involves substantial risk of loss. You may lose some or all of the funds you use to trade. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes.

Nothing on this page constitutes investment, trading, or legal advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any contract. Content is for general informational purposes only.