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Image generated using AI.

World & GeopoliticsApp snapshot

Oil (WTI) price on October 31?

AI-generated

This summary was created with AI from verified sources and reviewed before publication. See the original source for the full story.

Read the original source: Gemini event and contract summaryRead the original source: Gemini WTI contract rules

The WTI card compares indexed oil-price thresholds at an October checkpoint. The benchmark matters: Gemini’s contract summary names a WTIOIL-USDC reference, so the title alone does not establish a conventional futures settlement price.

Writer: Ian St. ClairEditor: Mike Epifani
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Gemini Predictions lists this contract; PlayPicks shows it in the app and does not operate it.

About this market

The displayed $81 contract uses the KK_RFR_WTIUSDC index, described as a sixty-second average, at October 31, 2026, 5 p.m. ET. The page links a specific Hyperliquid instrument as its underlying reference.

That evidence does not establish equivalence with a physical oil quote or another WTI contract. The listed $78-through-$99 “or above” rows also overlap; they are not exclusive price bands.

Market source
Gemini Predictions
Question format
Multiple outcome labels

The app’s recorded expected resolution time has passed. These recorded values do not show the settled result.

What determines the result?

  • Match the threshold to its GEMI-WTI contract ID.
  • Verify the KK_RFR_WTIUSDC methodology and sixty-second window.
  • Check the contract’s no-eligible-trade fallback and official rule hierarchy.

Market outcomes

For the inspected $81 contract, equality satisfies the threshold. Its result must follow its own reference index, not any oil price sharing the WTI name.

Market-implied probabilities are estimates derived from market prices, not verified probabilities or predictions by PlayPicks. Prices may change and do not guarantee outcomes.

Outcomes may overlap; percentages are not normalized.

  • $78 or above15%
  • $81 or above15%
  • $87 or above11%
  • $93 or above12%
  • $90 or above5%
  • $96 or above15%
  • $99 or above12%
  • $84 or above15%

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Important information

In the United States, certain event contracts are offered through Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) subject to oversight by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Regulatory arrangements and product availability differ between platforms and jurisdictions. CFTC oversight does not constitute approval or endorsement of any particular contract. Event contracts are derivatives products, not sports betting or gambling products, and are not licensed by any state gaming or gambling regulator.

Trading event contracts involves substantial risk of loss. You may lose some or all of the funds you use to trade. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes.

Nothing on this page constitutes investment, trading, or legal advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any contract. Content is for general informational purposes only.