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Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026?
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Read the original source: Polymarket international contract rulesDespite the title’s shorthand, this contract counts days with qualifying North Korean missile launches during October. Several launches on one day do not automatically create several counts under the contract rules.
Writer: Ian St. ClairEditor: Mike Epifani
Open in PlayPicks Polymarket international lists this contract; PlayPicks shows it in the app and does not operate it.
About this market
The rule uses October 2026 calendar days in Pyongyang time. A test spanning midnight counts only on the day it began.
Ballistic, cruise, and anti-ship missile tests qualify. Surface-to-air missiles, rocket artillery, and torpedoes do not. That definition must be applied before interpreting the numerical outcome buckets.
- Market source
- Polymarket international
- Question format
- Multiple outcome labels
The app’s recorded expected resolution time has passed. These recorded values do not show the settled result.
What determines the result?
- Build the count in Pyongyang calendar days.
- Include only the three qualifying missile categories.
- Check reliable public reporting against the rules before accepting a final count.
Market outcomes
The rows represent zero qualifying days, one, two, three, or at least four. They do not directly report the number of missiles launched.
Market-implied probabilities are estimates derived from market prices, not verified probabilities or predictions by PlayPicks. Prices may change and do not guarantee outcomes.
Outcomes may overlap; percentages are not normalized.
- 4+99%
- 30%
- <10%
- 10%
- 21%
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