How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

AI-generated

This summary was created with AI from verified sources and reviewed before publication. See the original source for the full story.

Read the original source: Original event definition and rules

The source counts easing in units of 25 basis points across 2026. A larger reduction can therefore count as more than one unit rather than one meeting.

Writer: Ian St. ClairEditor: Mike Epifani

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Polymarket international lists this contract; PlayPicks shows it in the app and does not operate it.

About this market

The rules include emergency cuts outside scheduled meetings, give special treatment to smaller changes and point to Federal Reserve policy records. This differs from a contract on one meeting’s decision.

Market source: Polymarket international
Question format: Multiple outcome labels

What determines the result?

Read the basis-point conversion and small-change rule.
Include qualifying emergency actions within the stated year.
Verify the policy record and any early-resolution condition.

Market outcomes

The numbered rows refer to the rule-defined total, not the number of FOMC meetings attended or a claim about decisions already made.

Market-implied probabilities are estimates derived from market prices, not verified probabilities or predictions by PlayPicks. Prices may change and do not guarantee outcomes.

Outcomes may overlap; percentages are not normalized.

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