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Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
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Read the original source: Original event definition and rulesThe contract asks about real GDP growth for Japan’s third quarter of 2026, expressed as quarter-on-quarter growth at an annualized rate.
Writer: Ian St. ClairEditor: Mike Epifani
Open in PlayPicks Polymarket international lists this contract; PlayPicks shows it in the app and does not operate it.
About this market
Its rules select the Cabinet Office’s first preliminary estimate. Annualized quarterly growth differs from year-on-year growth, and later revisions do not replace the selected initial release.
- Market source
- Polymarket international
- Question format
- Multiple outcome labels
What determines the result?
- Confirm annualized quarter-on-quarter growth rather than year-on-year growth.
- Read the initial release instead of a later revision.
- Apply the boundary and unavailable-release provisions.
Market outcomes
Each range must be matched to the specified series and release vintage. The rules place an exact boundary value into the higher bracket.
Market-implied probabilities are estimates derived from market prices, not verified probabilities or predictions by PlayPicks. Prices may change and do not guarantee outcomes.
Outcomes may overlap; percentages are not normalized.
- 0.8%–1.6%23%
- -0.8%–0.0%16%
- 1.6%–2.4%13%
- 0.0%–0.8%26%
- -2.4%– -1.6%4%
- -1.6%– -0.8%8%
- 2.4%–3.2%3%
- 3.2%–4.0%2%
- 4.0%+3%
- <-2.4%2%
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