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World & GeopoliticsApp snapshot

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

AI-generated

This summary was created with AI from verified sources and reviewed before publication. See the original source for the full story.

Read the original source: Original event definition and rules

This question uses China’s year-on-year GDP growth for the full year of 2026. A quarterly annualized growth rate would be a different measure.

Writer: Ian St. ClairEditor: Mike Epifani
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Polymarket international lists this contract; PlayPicks shows it in the app and does not operate it.

About this market

The rules identify the initial preliminary accounting release and the full-year GDP row. Later revisions are excluded, and an exact range boundary belongs to the higher bracket.

Market source
Polymarket international
Question format
Multiple outcome labels

What determines the result?

  • Read the full-year year-on-year figure and correct GDP row.
  • Use the initial publication rather than a revised series.
  • Apply boundary and missing-release fallbacks.

Market outcomes

Match each range to the annual series and initial release. The contract also specifies fallbacks if the full-year figure or the expected release is unavailable.

Market-implied probabilities are estimates derived from market prices, not verified probabilities or predictions by PlayPicks. Prices may change and do not guarantee outcomes.

Outcomes may overlap; percentages are not normalized.

  • 4.0–5.0%95%
  • 5.0–6.0%2%
  • 3.0–4.0%1%
  • 8.0–9.0%0%
  • 9.0%+1%
  • 2.0–3.0%0%
  • 6.0-7.0%0%
  • <1.0%0%
  • 1.0–2.0%1%
  • 7.0–8.0%0%

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Important information

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