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TechApp snapshot

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

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This summary was created with AI from verified sources and reviewed before publication. See the original source for the full story.

Read the original source: Original event definition and rules

This question uses the company owning the highest-ranked eligible model in the specified December leaderboard check. That differs from ranking labs as grouped entities.

Writer: Ian St. ClairEditor: Mike Epifani
Open in PlayPicks

Polymarket international lists this contract; PlayPicks shows it in the app and does not operate it.

About this market

The rules select Text Arena Overall with Style Control, the Models filter and a December 31 noon Eastern observation. AutoEval entries are excluded and tied ranks have further tests.

Market source
Polymarket international
Question format
Multiple outcome labels

What determines the result?

  • Use Models rather than the separate Labs table.
  • Keep Style Control and the December check time fixed.
  • Apply eligibility, tie and unavailable-leaderboard rules.

Market outcomes

A company label concerns ownership of the qualifying first-place model at that check. It does not establish a universal or current “best AI” claim.

Market-implied probabilities are estimates derived from market prices, not verified probabilities or predictions by PlayPicks. Prices may change and do not guarantee outcomes.

Outcomes may overlap; percentages are not normalized.

  • Google46%
  • Anthropic33%
  • Meta7%
  • Baidu1%
  • Xiaomi1%
  • StepFun0%
  • Z.ai0%
  • OpenAI2%
  • Nvidia0%
  • MiniMax3%
  • Microsoft1%
  • Moonshot1%
  • SpaceXAI1%
  • Alibaba1%
  • ByteDance1%
  • Meituan1%
  • Mistral1%
  • Tencent0%
  • Thinky0%
  • Amazon0%
  • DeepSeek0%

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