Skip to content

18+ (21+ in certain states). You must meet the applicable age and location requirements to open an account or trade event contracts. Availability varies by operator, product and jurisdiction.

Menu
AI-generated economics artwork from PlayPicks
Image generated using AI.

Image generated using AI.

EconomicsApp snapshot

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 6.00%?

AI-generated

This summary was created with AI from verified sources and reviewed before publication. See the original source for the full story.

Read the original source: Exact contract rules

This long-term question tests whether the upper edge of the federal funds target is above 6.00% at the stated year-end observation. It does not ask for an average over the year.

Writer: Ian St. ClairEditor: Mike Epifani
Open in PlayPicks

Kalshi lists this contract; PlayPicks shows it in the app and does not operate it.

About this market

The exact Kalshi contract names the Federal Reserve’s published target. If the Fed specifies a single target instead of a range, the contract uses that rate.

Market source
Kalshi
Question format
Binary question

What determines the result?

  • Match the 6.00% threshold and December 31, 2035 observation.
  • Use the upper bound, or the specified single-rate fallback.
  • Keep the observation distinct from later expiration and payment times.

Market outcomes

The affirmative side concerns this threshold and observation, not a different year or the lower edge of a target range.

Market-implied probabilities are estimates derived from market prices, not verified probabilities or predictions by PlayPicks. Prices may change and do not guarantee outcomes.

YesApp-reported implied probability24%

More economics questions

5 more economics markets from the app.

Economics markets

Important information

In the United States, certain event contracts are offered through Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) subject to oversight by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Regulatory arrangements and product availability differ between platforms and jurisdictions. CFTC oversight does not constitute approval or endorsement of any particular contract. Event contracts are derivatives products, not sports betting or gambling products, and are not licensed by any state gaming or gambling regulator.

Trading event contracts involves substantial risk of loss. You may lose some or all of the funds you use to trade. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes.

Nothing on this page constitutes investment, trading, or legal advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any contract. Content is for general informational purposes only.