Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: Western Semifinals Game 6 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – May 16, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 15, 2024

The Denver Nuggets lead 3-2 going into a deciding Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Timberwolves are 2-point favorites for the game, which airs on ESPN at 8:30 PM ET. The point total in the contest is set at 206.

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Timberwolves -2 206

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Injury Report as of May 16

Timberwolves: Mike Conley: Questionable (Calf)

Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Jamal Murray: Questionable (Calf)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Timberwolves (-2)
Total Pick Over (206)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Stat Rankings

Timberwolves Avg. (Rank) Nuggets Avg. (Rank)
113 (18th) Points Scored 114.9 (14th)
106.5 (1st) Points Allowed 109.6 (6th)
43.6 (15th) Rebounds 44.4 (7th)
9.4 (24th) Off. Rebounds 10.7 (13th)
12.6 (15th) 3pt Made 11.7 (25th)
26.6 (15th) Assists 29.5 (3rd)
13.4 (19th) Turnovers 11.8 (4th)

Best Betting Site for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

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Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Anthony Edwards 79 25.9 5.4 5.1 1.3 0.5 2.4
Karl-Anthony Towns 62 21.8 8.3 3 0.7 0.7 2.2
Rudy Gobert 76 14 12.9 1.3 0.7 2.1 0
Naz Reid 81 13.5 5.2 1.3 0.8 0.9 2.1
Mike Conley 76 11.4 2.9 5.9 1.2 0.2 2.4

Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 79 26.4 12.4 9 1.4 0.9 1.1
Jamal Murray 59 21.2 4.1 6.5 1 0.7 2.5
Michael Porter Jr. 81 16.7 7 1.5 0.5 0.7 2.7
Aaron Gordon 73 13.9 6.5 3.5 0.8 0.6 0.5
Reggie Jackson 82 10.2 1.9 3.8 0.5 0.2 1.2

Betting Trends

  • The Timberwolves’ record against the spread is 40-40-2.
  • Minnesota’s ATS record as 2-point favorites or more is 26-30-2.
  • The Timberwolves have seen 41 of their 82 games hit the over.
  • Minnesota’s games have finished with more than 206 points 67 times so far this year.
  • Timberwolves games have had an average of 219.5 points this season, 13.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Nuggets have beaten the spread 38 times in 82 games.
  • Denver’s ATS record as a 2-point underdog or greater is 5-2.
  • The Nuggets have seen 35 of their 82 games hit the over.
  • Denver’s games have had over 206 points 71 times this season.
  • The average total for Nuggets games is 224.5 points, which is 18.5 more than this game’s over/under.

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