Mavericks vs. Celtics Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 3

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 10, 2024

The Boston Celtics bring a 2-0 series record into Game 3 of the NBA Finals. The Mavericks enter the matchup as favorites by 3 points for the game, which airs on ABC at 8:30 PM ET. The matchup’s over/under is 214.5.

Before you place an informed wager on the contest, take a look at the best bets available for Wednesday’s game according to our computer predictions.

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Spread: Celtics (+3) to Cover

  • The data strongly suggests betting on the Celtics in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Mavericks favored and the difference between the two is 8.5 points.
  • Boston is 42-36-4 ATS this year.
  • The Celtics have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
  • Dallas has a 48-34-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Mavericks are 27-15 ATS this season when playing as at least 3-point favorites.

Think the Celtics will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 214.5

  • The DraftKings point total for this matchup is more than two possessions lower (13.5 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
  • Dallas’ games have had more than 214.5 points scored on 68 occasions this season.
  • Boston’s games have had over 214.5 points 66 times this season.
  • A total of 36 out of the Mavericks’ 82 games this season have hit the over.
  • The Celtics and their opponents have combined to hit the over 43 out of 82 times this season.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Celtics (+124)

  • Prediction: Celtics 117, Mavericks 111
  • Dallas has won 37, or 75.5%, of the 49 games it has played as the favorite this season.
  • Boston has been chosen as underdogs in three games this year and has walked away with the win one time (33.3%) in those games.

Which team do you think will end up on top? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Luka Doncic Points Prop: Under 32.5

  • Luka Doncic posts 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists per contest, shooting 48.7% from the floor and 38.2% from beyond the arc with 4.1 made 3-pointers per contest (second in league).
  • The 32.5 points prop total set for Doncic on Wednesday is 1.4 fewer points than his season scoring average (33.9).
  • Doncic is 39-for-75 at scoring more than his points prop total this season.
  • On offense, the Celtics are the second-best team in the league (120.6 points per game). On defense, they are fifth-best (109.2 points allowed per game).

Explore all available player props for Luka Doncic and other Mavericks players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.

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