Celtics vs. Mavericks: NBA Finals Game 5 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – June 17, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 15, 2024

The Dallas Mavericks (50-32) will try to overcome the odds as 6.5-point underdogs heading into a decisive Game 5 of the NBA Finals, and will face off against the Boston Celtics at TD Garden on Monday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET on ABC. The Celtics are up 3-1 in the series. The matchup has a 210.5 point total.

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Celtics vs. Mavericks Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Celtics -6.5 210.5

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Injury Report as of June 17

Celtics: Kristaps Porzingis: Questionable (Lower Leg), Jay Scrubb: Out (Knee)

Mavericks: Luka Dončić: Probable (Thoracic)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Celtics (-6.5)
Total Pick Over (210.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Celtics vs. Mavericks Stat Rankings

Celtics Avg. (Rank) Mavericks Avg. (Rank)
120.6 (2nd) Points Scored 117.9 (7th)
109.2 (5th) Points Allowed 115.6 (20th)
46.3 (2nd) Rebounds 42.9 (21st)
10.7 (13th) Off. Rebounds 9.7 (23rd)
16.5 (1st) 3pt Made 14.6 (3rd)
26.9 (14th) Assists 25.7 (19th)
11.3 (1st) Turnovers 12.1 (7th)

Best Betting Site for Celtics vs. Mavericks

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Celtics Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jayson Tatum 74 26.9 8.1 4.9 1.0 0.6 3.1
Jaylen Brown 70 23.0 5.5 3.6 1.2 0.5 2.1
Kristaps Porzingis 57 20.1 7.2 2.0 0.7 1.9 1.9
Derrick White 73 15.2 4.2 5.2 1.0 1.2 2.7
Jrue Holiday 69 12.5 5.4 4.8 0.9 0.8 2.0

Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 70 33.9 9.2 9.8 1.4 0.5 4.1
Kyrie Irving 58 25.6 5.0 5.2 1.3 0.5 3.0
Tim Hardaway Jr. 79 14.4 3.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 2.7
P.J. Washington 73 12.9 5.6 1.9 1.0 0.8 1.8
Daniel Gafford 74 11.0 7.6 1.6 0.9 2.1 0.0

Betting Trends

  • The Celtics’ record against the spread is 42-36-4.
  • Boston is 30-23-3 as 6.5-point favorites or more.
  • The Celtics have played 82 games this season, and 43 of them have gone over the total.
  • Boston’s games have finished with more than 210.5 points 73 times so far this year.
  • Celtics games average 229.1 total points this season, 18.6 points less than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Mavericks are 48-34-0 against the spread this year.
  • Dallas has two wins ATS (2-5) as a 6.5-point underdog or more this season.
  • The Mavericks have seen 36 of their 82 games go over the point total.
  • There have been 70 Dallas’ games this year with more than 210.5 points scored.
  • The average total points scored in Mavericks games this year (210.5) is 24.3 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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