Celtics vs. Mavericks Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 5

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 15, 2024

The Boston Celtics are favored by 7 points heading into a decisive Game 5 of the NBA Finals against the Dallas Mavericks at TD Garden on Monday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET on ABC. The Celtics are currently up 3-1 in the series. The matchup has an over/under of 210.5 points.

Trying to gain an edge on Monday’s game? See the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) in the article below.

Ready to put your picks to the test? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and bet on this matchup today!

Spread: Celtics (-7) to Cover

  • The DraftKings line for this game has the Celtics favored by seven, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (10.6 points). Put your money on the Celtics.
  • Boston’s ATS record is 42-36-4 this season.
  • The Celtics have an ATS record of 29-23-3 when playing as at least 7-point favorites this season.
  • Dallas’ ATS record is 48-34-0 this season.
  • The Mavericks have been an underdog by 7 points or more seven times this season, and covered the spread in two of those contests.

Think the Celtics will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 210.5

  • The DraftKings point total for this matchup is more than two possessions lower (17.0 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
  • A total of 73 times so far this year, Boston and its opponent have combined to score more than 210.5 points.
  • Dallas’ games have finished with over 210.5 points scored 70 times this year.
  • In the Celtics’ 82 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 43 times.
  • The Mavericks and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 36 out of 82 times this season.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-270)

  • Prediction: Celtics 119, Mavericks 108
  • Boston has won 63, or 79.7%, of the 79 games it has played as the favorite this season.
  • Dallas has been chosen as underdogs in 31 games this year and has walked away with the win 12 times (38.7%) in those games.

Which team do you think will end up victorious? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Jayson Tatum Rebounds Prop: Over 9.5

  • Jayson Tatum puts up 26.9 points, 8.1 boards and 4.9 assists per game, shooting 47.1% from the floor and 37.6% from beyond the arc with 3.1 made 3-pointers per game (seventh in league).
  • He has grabbed 8.1 rebounds per game, 1.4 fewer than his prop bet for Monday’s game (9.5).
  • Oddsmakers have listed a rebound total for him 77 times this season, and he has hit the over in 29 of those games.
  • In 2023-24, the Mavericks are 21st in the league in rebounds (42.9 per game) and 25th in rebounds conceded (45.1).

Check out all available player props for Jayson Tatum and other Celtics players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.

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