The Dallas Mavericks are favored by 1 points heading into a decisive Game 4 of the NBA Finals against the Boston Celtics at American Airlines Center on Friday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET on ABC. The Celtics are leading the series 3-0. The matchup’s point total is set at 211.
Before you place an informed wager on the matchup, check out the best bets available in Friday’s game based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Celtics (+1) to Cover
- The model line is much more favorable to the Celtics compared to the DraftKings line, a 6.7 point difference, and has them favored to win Friday’s game outright. Put your money on the Celtics.
- Boston’s ATS record is 42-36-4 this year.
- The Celtics have covered the spread once when an underdog by 1 point or more this season (in three opportunities).
- Dallas’ ATS record is 48-34-0 this season.
- The Mavericks have been favored by 1 point or more 50 times this season, and covered the spread in 33 of those matchups.
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Total: Over 211
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is more than two possessions lower (16.7 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- Dallas’ games have finished with more than 211 points 70 times so far this season.
- Boston’s games have had over 211 points 73 times this season.
- In the Mavericks’ 82 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 36 times.
- So far this year, 43 out of the Celtics’ 82 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-112)
- Prediction: Celtics 117, Mavericks 111
- Dallas has entered the game as favorites 49 times this season and won 37, or 75.5%, of those games.
- Boston has been victorious in one of the three contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Kyrie Irving Points Prop: Under 24.5
- Kyrie Irving averages 25.6 points, 5.2 assists and 5.0 boards per contest.
- Irving’s 25.6 points per game are 1.1 higher than Friday’s prop total.
- So far this season, Irving is 30-for-63 at scoring more than the total set for his points prop.
- In 2023-24, the Celtics are second-best in the league on offense (120.6 points scored per game) and fifth-best defensively (109.2 points allowed).
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Jaylen Brown Rebounds Prop: Over 6.5
- Jaylen Brown is putting up 23.0 points, 5.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game. He’s making 49.9% of his shots from the field and 35.4% from 3-point range, with 2.1 triples per game.
- His per-game rebound average — 5.5 — is 1.0 less than his prop bet over/under for Friday’s game (6.5).
- He has gone over his rebound total in 37 of 77 games with a prop so far this season.
- With 42.9 boards per game, the Mavericks are 21st in the NBA. They allow 45.1 rebounds per contest, which ranks 25th in the league.
Check out the prop bets available for Jaylen Brown and other Celtics players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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