Mavericks vs. Thunder: Western Semifinals Game 6 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – May 18, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 16, 2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25) are looking to prove the oddsmakers wrong as 4-point underdogs for a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs, and will face off against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Saturday, tipping off at 8:00 PM ET on ABC. The Mavericks are up 3-2 in the series. The matchup has a 209.5 point total.

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Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Mavericks -4 209.5

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Injury Report as of May 18

Mavericks: Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Out (Ankle), Maximilian Kleber: Out (Shoulder), Luka Dončić: Probable (Knee/Ankle)

Thunder: None

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Thunder (+4)
Total Pick Over (209.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Stat Rankings

Mavericks Avg. (Rank) Thunder Avg. (Rank)
117.9 (7th) Points Scored 120.1 (3rd)
115.6 (20th) Points Allowed 112.7 (11th)
42.9 (21st) Rebounds 42 (27th)
9.7 (23rd) Off. Rebounds 8.8 (29th)
14.6 (3rd) 3pt Made 13.3 (8th)
25.7 (19th) Assists 27.1 (11th)
12.1 (7th) Turnovers 11.8 (4th)

Best Betting Site for Mavericks vs. Thunder

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Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 70 33.9 9.2 9.8 1.4 0.5 4.1
Kyrie Irving 58 25.6 5 5.2 1.3 0.5 3
Tim Hardaway Jr. 79 14.4 3.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 2.7
P.J. Washington 73 12.9 5.6 1.9 1 0.8 1.8
Daniel Gafford 74 11 7.6 1.6 0.9 2.1 0

Thunder Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 75 30.1 5.5 6.2 2 0.9 1.3
Jalen Williams 71 19.1 4 4.5 1.1 0.6 1.5
Chet Holmgren 82 16.5 7.9 2.4 0.6 2.3 1.6
Josh Giddey 80 12.3 6.4 4.8 0.6 0.6 1
Luguentz Dort 79 10.9 3.6 1.4 0.9 0.6 2

Betting Trends

  • The Mavericks have 48 wins in 82 games against the spread this year.
  • As 4-point favorites or more, Dallas is 22-14 against the spread.
  • There have been 36 Mavericks games (out of 82) that hit the over this season.
  • Dallas and its opponent have broken the 209.5-point mark 72 times this year.
  • The total for this game is 209.5, 24 points fewer than the average total in Mavericks games thus far this season.
  • The Thunder are 46-35-1 against the spread this season.
  • Oklahoma City is 3-3 as a 4-point underdog or greater.
  • The Thunder have played 82 games this year, and 43 of them have hit the over.
  • Oklahoma City’s games have gone over 209.5 points on 74 occasions this year.
  • The average total points scored in Thunder games this year (209.5) is 23.3 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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