Mavericks vs. Thunder: Western Semifinals Game 6 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – May 18, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 16, 2024

The Dallas Mavericks lead 3-2 heading into a deciding Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Mavericks are 4-point favorites for the game, which goes live on ABC at 8:00 PM ET. The matchup has a 208 point total.

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Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Mavericks -4 208

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Injury Report as of May 18

Mavericks: Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Out (Ankle), Maximilian Kleber: Out (Shoulder), Luka Dončić: Probable (Knee/Ankle)

Thunder: None

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Thunder (+4)
Total Pick Over (208)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Stat Rankings

Mavericks Avg. (Rank) Thunder Avg. (Rank)
117.9 (7th) Points Scored 120.1 (3rd)
115.6 (20th) Points Allowed 112.7 (11th)
42.9 (21st) Rebounds 42 (27th)
9.7 (23rd) Off. Rebounds 8.8 (29th)
14.6 (3rd) 3pt Made 13.3 (8th)
25.7 (19th) Assists 27.1 (11th)
12.1 (7th) Turnovers 11.8 (4th)

Best Betting Site for Mavericks vs. Thunder

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Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 70 33.9 9.2 9.8 1.4 0.5 4.1
Kyrie Irving 58 25.6 5 5.2 1.3 0.5 3
Tim Hardaway Jr. 79 14.4 3.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 2.7
P.J. Washington 73 12.9 5.6 1.9 1 0.8 1.8
Daniel Gafford 74 11 7.6 1.6 0.9 2.1 0

Thunder Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 75 30.1 5.5 6.2 2 0.9 1.3
Jalen Williams 71 19.1 4 4.5 1.1 0.6 1.5
Chet Holmgren 82 16.5 7.9 2.4 0.6 2.3 1.6
Josh Giddey 80 12.3 6.4 4.8 0.6 0.6 1
Luguentz Dort 79 10.9 3.6 1.4 0.9 0.6 2

Betting Trends

  • Against the spread, the Mavericks are 48-34-0 this year.
  • Dallas’ ATS record as 4-point favorites or more is 22-14.
  • The Mavericks have seen 36 of their 82 games go over the point total.
  • Dallas’ games have had more than 208 points scored on 75 occasions this year.
  • The total for this game is 208, 25.5 points fewer than the average total in Mavericks games thus far this season.
  • Against the spread, the Thunder are 46-35-1 this season.
  • As a 4-point underdog or greater, Oklahoma City is 3-3 against the spread.
  • This season, 43 of the Thunder’s 82 games have hit the over.
  • Oklahoma City’s games have finished with over 208 points scored 76 times this season.
  • This season, Thunder games have resulted in an average scoring total of 232.8, which is 24.8 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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