The Oklahoma City Thunder enter Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Dallas Mavericks as 4.5-point favorites. The playoff matchup on Wednesday begins at 9:30 PM ET on TNT from Paycom Center. The series is tied 2-2. The matchup has a 212.5 point total.
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Thunder vs. Mavericks Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Thunder | -4.5 | 212.5 |
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Injury Report as of May 15
Thunder: None
Mavericks: Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Out (Ankle), Maximilian Kleber: Out (Shoulder), Luka Dončić: Probable (Knee/Ankle)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Thunder (-4.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (212.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Stat Rankings
| Thunder Avg. (Rank) | Mavericks Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 120.1 (3rd) | Points Scored | 117.9 (7th) |
| 112.7 (11th) | Points Allowed | 115.6 (20th) |
| 42 (27th) | Rebounds | 42.9 (21st) |
| 8.8 (29th) | Off. Rebounds | 9.7 (23rd) |
| 13.3 (8th) | 3pt Made | 14.6 (3rd) |
| 27.1 (11th) | Assists | 25.7 (19th) |
| 11.8 (4th) | Turnovers | 12.1 (7th) |
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Thunder Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 75 | 30.1 | 5.5 | 6.2 | 2 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Jalen Williams | 71 | 19.1 | 4 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.5 |
| Chet Holmgren | 82 | 16.5 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Josh Giddey | 80 | 12.3 | 6.4 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Luguentz Dort | 79 | 10.9 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 2 |
Mavericks Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 70 | 33.9 | 9.2 | 9.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 4.1 |
| Kyrie Irving | 58 | 25.6 | 5 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 3 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 79 | 14.4 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 2.7 |
| P.J. Washington | 73 | 12.9 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Daniel Gafford | 74 | 11 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 |
Betting Trends
- The Thunder have covered the spread 46 times in 82 games.
- Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 25-15 as 4.5-point favorites or greater.
- The Thunder have seen 43 of their 82 games hit the over.
- In 68 games this year, Oklahoma City and its opponent have combined for more than 212.5 points.
- Thunder games average 232.8 total points this season, 20.3 points less than the over/under for this matchup.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread 48 times in 82 games.
- As a 4.5-point underdog or greater, Dallas is 4-7 against the spread.
- There have been 36 Mavericks games (out of 82) that hit the over this season.
- Dallas’ games have had over 212.5 points 69 times this year.
- The average total points scored in Mavericks games this year (212.5) is 21 points higher than the total for this matchup.
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