Mavericks vs. Thunder: Western Semifinals Game 3 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – May 11, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 10, 2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25) will try to overcome the odds as slight 2-point underdogs for Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs, and will face off against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Saturday, beginning at 3:30 PM ET on ABC. The series is tied 1-1. The over/under in this matchup is 218.

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Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Mavericks -2 218

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Injury Report as of May 11

Mavericks: Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Out (Ankle), Maximilian Kleber: Out (Shoulder), Luka Dončić: Questionable (Knee/Ankle)

Thunder: None

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Thunder (+2)
Total Pick Over (218)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Stat Rankings

Mavericks Avg. (Rank) Thunder Avg. (Rank)
117.9 (7th) Points Scored 120.1 (3rd)
115.6 (20th) Points Allowed 112.7 (11th)
42.9 (21st) Rebounds 42 (27th)
9.7 (23rd) Off. Rebounds 8.8 (29th)
14.6 (3rd) 3pt Made 13.3 (8th)
25.7 (19th) Assists 27.1 (11th)
12.1 (7th) Turnovers 11.8 (4th)

Best Betting Site for Mavericks vs. Thunder

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Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 70 33.9 9.2 9.8 1.4 0.5 4.1
Kyrie Irving 58 25.6 5 5.2 1.3 0.5 3
Tim Hardaway Jr. 79 14.4 3.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 2.7
P.J. Washington 73 12.9 5.6 1.9 1 0.8 1.8
Daniel Gafford 74 11 7.6 1.6 0.9 2.1 0

Thunder Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 75 30.1 5.5 6.2 2 0.9 1.3
Jalen Williams 71 19.1 4 4.5 1.1 0.6 1.5
Chet Holmgren 82 16.5 7.9 2.4 0.6 2.3 1.6
Josh Giddey 80 12.3 6.4 4.8 0.6 0.6 1
Luguentz Dort 79 10.9 3.6 1.4 0.9 0.6 2

Betting Trends

  • The Mavericks’ record against the spread is 48-34-0.
  • Against the spread as 2-point favorites or more, Dallas is 28-16.
  • The Mavericks have played 82 games this year, and 36 of them have hit the over.
  • A total of 66 times so far this season, Dallas and its opponent have combined to score more than 218 points.
  • The point total average for Mavericks games this season is 233.5, 15.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Thunder have beaten the spread 46 times in 82 games.
  • As a 2-point underdog or more, Oklahoma City is 10-7-1 against the spread.
  • The Thunder have seen 43 of their 82 games hit the over.
  • There have been 59 Oklahoma City’s games this season with more than 218 points scored.
  • The average total points scored in Thunder games this year (218) is 14.8 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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