The Minnesota Timberwolves head into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets as 3.5-point favorites. The playoff matchup on Sunday begins at 8:00 PM ET on TNT from Target Center. The Timberwolves lead the series 2-1. The over/under in this contest is set at 204.5.
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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | -3.5 | 204.5 |
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Injury Report as of May 12
Timberwolves: None
Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Reggie Jackson: Questionable (Calf), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Questionable (Abdomen), Jamal Murray: Questionable (Calf)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Timberwolves (-3.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (204.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Stat Rankings
| Timberwolves Avg. (Rank) | Nuggets Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 113 (18th) | Points Scored | 114.9 (14th) |
| 106.5 (1st) | Points Allowed | 109.6 (6th) |
| 43.6 (15th) | Rebounds | 44.4 (7th) |
| 9.4 (24th) | Off. Rebounds | 10.7 (13th) |
| 12.6 (15th) | 3pt Made | 11.7 (25th) |
| 26.6 (15th) | Assists | 29.5 (3rd) |
| 13.4 (19th) | Turnovers | 11.8 (4th) |
Best Betting Site for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
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Timberwolves Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 79 | 25.9 | 5.4 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2.4 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 62 | 21.8 | 8.3 | 3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.2 |
| Rudy Gobert | 76 | 14 | 12.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 0 |
| Naz Reid | 81 | 13.5 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.1 |
| Mike Conley | 76 | 11.4 | 2.9 | 5.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.4 |
Nuggets Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 79 | 26.4 | 12.4 | 9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Jamal Murray | 59 | 21.2 | 4.1 | 6.5 | 1 | 0.7 | 2.5 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 81 | 16.7 | 7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.7 |
| Aaron Gordon | 73 | 13.9 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Reggie Jackson | 82 | 10.2 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 |
Betting Trends
- The Timberwolves have 40 wins in 82 games against the spread this year.
- As 3.5-point favorites or more, Minnesota is 22-25 against the spread.
- The Timberwolves have played 82 games this season, and 41 of them have hit the over.
- Minnesota’s games have had more than 204.5 points scored on 69 occasions this season.
- The over/under in this matchup is 204.5 points, and that’s 15 less than the average total in this season’s Timberwolves contests.
- Against the spread, the Nuggets are 38-42-2 this year.
- Denver’s ATS record as a 3.5-point underdog or greater is 3-1.
- There have been 35 Nuggets games (out of 82) that went over the total this year.
- Denver’s games have finished with over 204.5 points scored 72 times this season.
- The average total for Nuggets games is 224.5 points, 20 more than this game’s over/under.
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