Thunder vs. Mavericks: Western Semifinals Game 1 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – May 7, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 4, 2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Dallas Mavericks square off to start the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Thunder are 3.5-point favorites for the game, which airs on TNT at 9:30 PM ET. The over/under is 218.5 points for this matchup.

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Thunder vs. Mavericks Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Thunder -3.5 218.5

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Injury Report as of May 7

Thunder: None

Mavericks: Maximilian Kleber: Out (Shoulder), Luka Dončić: Probable (Knee), Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Out (Ankle)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Thunder (-3.5)
Total Pick Over (218.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Stat Rankings

Thunder Avg. (Rank) Mavericks Avg. (Rank)
120.1 (3rd) Points Scored 117.9 (7th)
112.7 (11th) Points Allowed 115.6 (20th)
42 (27th) Rebounds 42.9 (21st)
8.8 (29th) Off. Rebounds 9.7 (23rd)
13.3 (8th) 3pt Made 14.6 (3rd)
27.1 (11th) Assists 25.7 (19th)
11.8 (4th) Turnovers 12.1 (7th)

Best Betting Site for Thunder vs. Mavericks

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Thunder Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 75 30.1 5.5 6.2 2 0.9 1.3
Jalen Williams 71 19.1 4 4.5 1.1 0.6 1.5
Chet Holmgren 82 16.5 7.9 2.4 0.6 2.3 1.6
Josh Giddey 80 12.3 6.4 4.8 0.6 0.6 1
Luguentz Dort 79 10.9 3.6 1.4 0.9 0.6 2

Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 70 33.9 9.2 9.8 1.4 0.5 4.1
Kyrie Irving 58 25.6 5 5.2 1.3 0.5 3
Tim Hardaway Jr. 79 14.4 3.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 2.7
P.J. Washington 73 12.9 5.6 1.9 1 0.8 1.8
Daniel Gafford 74 11 7.6 1.6 0.9 2.1 0

Betting Trends

  • Against the spread, the Thunder are 46-35-1 this year.
  • As 3.5-point favorites or more, Oklahoma City is 27-17 against the spread.
  • The Thunder have seen 43 of their 82 games go over the point total.
  • Oklahoma City’s games have had more than 218.5 points scored on 58 occasions this season.
  • The total for this game is 218.5, and that’s 14.3 points fewer than the average total in Thunder games thus far this season.
  • The Mavericks have 48 wins in 82 games against the spread this season.
  • Against the spread, as a 3.5-point underdog or greater, Dallas is 8-9.
  • The Mavericks have played 82 games this season, and 36 of them have hit the over.
  • Dallas’ games have gone over 218.5 points on 65 occasions this season.
  • The average total for Mavericks games is 233.5 points, 15 more than this game’s over/under.

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