Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: Western Semifinals Game 3 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – May 10, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 7, 2024

The Minnesota Timberwolves enter Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets as 3.5-point favorites. The playoff matchup on Friday begins at 9:30 PM ET on ESPN from Target Center. The Timberwolves lead the series 2-0. A 205-point over/under is set for this matchup.

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Timberwolves -3.5 205

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Injury Report as of May 10

Timberwolves: None

Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Questionable (Abdomen), Reggie Jackson: Questionable (Calf), Jamal Murray: Questionable (Calf)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Timberwolves (-3.5)
Total Pick Over (205)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Stat Rankings

Timberwolves Avg. (Rank) Nuggets Avg. (Rank)
113 (18th) Points Scored 114.9 (14th)
106.5 (1st) Points Allowed 109.6 (6th)
43.6 (15th) Rebounds 44.4 (7th)
9.4 (24th) Off. Rebounds 10.7 (13th)
12.6 (15th) 3pt Made 11.7 (25th)
26.6 (15th) Assists 29.5 (3rd)
13.4 (19th) Turnovers 11.8 (4th)

Best Betting Site for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

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Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Anthony Edwards 79 25.9 5.4 5.1 1.3 0.5 2.4
Karl-Anthony Towns 62 21.8 8.3 3 0.7 0.7 2.2
Rudy Gobert 76 14 12.9 1.3 0.7 2.1 0
Naz Reid 81 13.5 5.2 1.3 0.8 0.9 2.1
Mike Conley 76 11.4 2.9 5.9 1.2 0.2 2.4

Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 79 26.4 12.4 9 1.4 0.9 1.1
Jamal Murray 59 21.2 4.1 6.5 1 0.7 2.5
Michael Porter Jr. 81 16.7 7 1.5 0.5 0.7 2.7
Aaron Gordon 73 13.9 6.5 3.5 0.8 0.6 0.5
Reggie Jackson 82 10.2 1.9 3.8 0.5 0.2 1.2

Betting Trends

  • Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 40-40-2 this year.
  • As 3.5-point favorites or more, Minnesota is 22-25 against the spread.
  • Out of 82 Timberwolves games so far this season, 41 have gone over the total.
  • Minnesota’s games have finished with more than 205 points 69 times so far this year.
  • Timberwolves games average 219.5 total points this season, 14.5 points less than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Nuggets have 38 wins in 82 games against the spread this year.
  • Against the spread, as a 3.5-point underdog or more, Denver is 3-1.
  • Out of 82 Nuggets games so far this season, 35 have hit the over.
  • Denver’s games have had over 205 points 72 times this year.
  • The average total for Nuggets games is 224.5 points, which is 19.5 more than this game’s over/under.

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