The Boston Celtics head into Game 4 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Miami Heat as 10.5-point favorites. The playoff matchup on Monday tips at 7:30 PM ET on TNT from FTX Arena. The Celtics lead the series 2-1. The over/under is 205 points for the matchup.
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Celtics vs. Heat Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Celtics | -10.5 | 205 |
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Injury Report as of April 29
Celtics: Jay Scrubb: Out (Knee)
Heat: Terry Rozier: Out (Neck), Delon Wright: Probable (Personal), Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Jimmy Butler: Out (Knee)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Heat (+10.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (205) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Celtics vs. Heat Stat Rankings
| Celtics Avg. (Rank) | Heat Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 120.6 (2nd) | Points Scored | 110.1 (26th) |
| 109.2 (5th) | Points Allowed | 108.4 (3rd) |
| 46.3 (2nd) | Rebounds | 42.3 (25th) |
| 10.7 (13th) | Off. Rebounds | 9.3 (26th) |
| 16.5 (1st) | 3pt Made | 12.5 (18th) |
| 26.9 (14th) | Assists | 25.8 (18th) |
| 11.3 (1st) | Turnovers | 11.8 (4th) |
Best Betting Site for Celtics vs. Heat
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Celtics Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 74 | 26.9 | 8.1 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 3.1 |
| Jaylen Brown | 70 | 23.0 | 5.5 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.1 |
| Kristaps Porzingis | 57 | 20.1 | 7.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Derrick White | 73 | 15.2 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.7 |
| Jrue Holiday | 69 | 12.5 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 2.0 |
Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 42 | 20.8 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 3.1 |
| Bam Adebayo | 71 | 19.3 | 10.4 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Duncan Robinson | 68 | 12.9 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.8 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 75 | 11.9 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| Caleb Martin | 64 | 10.0 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
Betting Trends
- The Celtics are 42-36-4 against the spread this year.
- Boston is 17-13 as 10.5-point favorites or more.
- The Celtics have played 82 games this year, and 43 of them have gone over the total.
- In 76 games this year, Boston and its opponent have combined to score more than 205 points.
- The total for this game is 205, and that’s 24.8 points fewer than the average total in Celtics games thus far this season.
- Against the spread, the Heat are 40-39-3 this year.
- There have been 35 Heat games (out of 82) that hit the over this season.
- Miami’s games have finished with over 205 points scored 65 times this season.
- The average total points scored in Heat games this year (205) is 13.5 points higher than the total for this matchup.
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