Thunder vs. Pelicans: NBA Playoffs Game 4 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 29, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 28, 2024

The New Orleans Pelicans (49-33) will try to pull off an upset as 5-point underdogs for a decisive Game 4 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs, and will face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Smoothie King Center on Monday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on NBA. The Thunder are up 3-0 in the series. The matchup has a 208 point total.

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Thunder vs. Pelicans Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Thunder -5 208

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Injury Report as of April 29

Thunder: None

Pelicans: Jeremiah Robinson-Earl: Questionable (Ankle), Zion Williamson: Out (Hamstring)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Pelicans (+5)
Total Pick Over (208)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Thunder vs. Pelicans Stat Rankings

Thunder Avg. (Rank) Pelicans Avg. (Rank)
120.1 (3rd) Points Scored 115.1 (13th)
112.7 (11th) Points Allowed 110.7 (8th)
42 (27th) Rebounds 44 (12th)
8.8 (29th) Off. Rebounds 10.4 (17th)
13.3 (8th) 3pt Made 12.5 (18th)
27.1 (11th) Assists 27 (12th)
11.8 (4th) Turnovers 12.4 (13th)

Best Betting Site for Thunder vs. Pelicans

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Thunder Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 75 30.1 5.5 6.2 2 0.9 1.3
Jalen Williams 71 19.1 4 4.5 1.1 0.6 1.5
Chet Holmgren 82 16.5 7.9 2.4 0.6 2.3 1.6
Josh Giddey 80 12.3 6.4 4.8 0.6 0.6 1
Luguentz Dort 79 10.9 3.6 1.4 0.9 0.6 2

Pelicans Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Brandon Ingram 64 20.8 5.1 5.7 0.8 0.6 1.3
CJ McCollum 66 20 4.3 4.6 0.9 0.6 3.6
Trey Murphy III 57 14.8 4.9 2.2 0.9 0.5 3
Jonas Valančiūnas 82 12.2 8.8 2.1 0.4 0.8 0.5
Herbert Jones 76 11 3.6 2.6 1.4 0.8 1.5

Betting Trends

  • The Thunder’s record against the spread is 46-35-1.
  • Oklahoma City is 23-14 as 5-point favorites or more.
  • This year, 43 of the Thunder’s 82 games have gone over the point total.
  • Oklahoma City’s games have finished with more than 208 points 76 times so far this season.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 208 points, 24.8 fewer than the average total in this season’s Thunder contests.
  • The Pelicans have 44 wins in 82 games against the spread this year.
  • New Orleans has an ATS record of 8-4 as a 5-point underdog or more.
  • The Pelicans have seen 36 of their 82 games hit the over.
  • So far this year, 67 New Orleans’ games have featured more than 208 points scored.
  • The average total points scored in Pelicans games this year (208) is 17.7 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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