Nuggets vs. Lakers: NBA Playoffs Game 5 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 29, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 28, 2024

The Los Angeles Lakers will try to prove the oddsmakers wrong as 6.5-point underdogs in a decisive Game 5 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Monday, starting at 10:00 PM ET on TNT. The Nuggets are ahead 3-1 in the series. The matchup has a 217 point total.

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Nuggets vs. Lakers Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Nuggets -6.5 217

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Injury Report as of April 29

Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Reggie Jackson: Probable (Ankle), Jamal Murray: Questionable (Calf)

Lakers: Jalen Hood-Schifino: Out (Back), Cameron Reddish: Out (Ankle), Anthony Davis: Probable (Wrist), LeBron James: Probable (Ankle), Jarred Vanderbilt: Questionable (Foot)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Nuggets (-6.5)
Total Pick Over (217)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Nuggets vs. Lakers Stat Rankings

Nuggets Avg. (Rank) Lakers Avg. (Rank)
114.9 (14th) Points Scored 118 (6th)
109.6 (6th) Points Allowed 117.4 (23rd)
44.4 (7th) Rebounds 43.1 (18th)
10.7 (13th) Off. Rebounds 8.2 (30th)
11.7 (25th) 3pt Made 11.8 (24th)
29.5 (3rd) Assists 28.5 (5th)
11.8 (4th) Turnovers 13.4 (19th)

Best Betting Site for Nuggets vs. Lakers

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Nuggets Key Players

Nikola Jokic 79 26.4 12.4 9 1.4 0.9 1.1
Jamal Murray 59 21.2 4.1 6.5 1 0.7 2.5
Michael Porter Jr. 81 16.7 7 1.5 0.5 0.7 2.7
Aaron Gordon 73 13.9 6.5 3.5 0.8 0.6 0.5
Reggie Jackson 82 10.2 1.9 3.8 0.5 0.2 1.2

Lakers Key Players

LeBron James 71 25.7 7.3 8.3 1.3 0.5 2.1
Anthony Davis 76 24.7 12.6 3.5 1.2 2.3 0.4
D’Angelo Russell 76 18 3.1 6.3 0.9 0.5 3
Austin Reaves 82 15.9 4.3 5.5 0.8 0.3 1.9
Rui Hachimura 68 13.6 4.3 1.2 0.6 0.4 1.4

Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets have beaten the spread 38 times in 82 games.
  • Denver’s ATS record as 6.5-point favorites or more is 20-19-1.
  • The Nuggets have played 82 games this season, and 35 of them have hit the over.
  • Denver’s games have had more than 217 points scored on 54 occasions this year.
  • The point total average for Nuggets games this season is 224.5, 7.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • Against the spread, the Lakers are 38-44-0 this year.
  • As a 6.5-point underdog or more, Los Angeles is 3-1 against the spread.
  • The Lakers have played 82 games this season, and 47 of them have gone over the total.
  • There have been 68 Los Angeles’ games this season with more than 217 points scored.
  • The average total points scored in Lakers games this year (217) is 18.5 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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