The Milwaukee Bucks (49-33) are aiming to prove the oddsmakers wrong as heavy, 10-point underdogs for Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, and will face off against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday, starting at 7:00 PM ET on TNT. The Pacers are ahead 2-1 in the series. The matchup’s over/under is 216.5.
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Pacers vs. Bucks Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Pacers | -10 | 216.5 |
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Injury Report as of April 28
Pacers: Bennedict Mathurin: Out (Shoulder)
Bucks: Chris Livingston: Out (Illness), Giannis Antetokounmpo: Doubtful (Calf), Khris Middleton: Probable (Ankle), Damian Lillard: Doubtful (Achilles)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Bucks (+10) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (216.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Pacers vs. Bucks Stat Rankings
| Pacers Avg. (Rank) | Bucks Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 123.3 (1st) | Points Scored | 119 (4th) |
| 120.2 (27th) | Points Allowed | 116.4 (21st) |
| 41.5 (28th) | Rebounds | 44.2 (8th) |
| 10.1 (19th) | Off. Rebounds | 9.4 (24th) |
| 13.2 (10th) | 3pt Made | 14.2 (5th) |
| 30.8 (1st) | Assists | 26.5 (17th) |
| 12.3 (11th) | Turnovers | 12.4 (13th) |
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Pacers Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 80 | 21.7 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 69 | 20.1 | 3.9 | 10.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 2.8 |
| Myles Turner | 77 | 17.1 | 6.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 72 | 12.2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| Obi Toppin | 82 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.2 |
Bucks Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 73 | 30.4 | 11.5 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Damian Lillard | 73 | 24.3 | 4.4 | 7 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Khris Middleton | 55 | 15.1 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Bobby Portis | 82 | 13.8 | 7.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Brook Lopez | 79 | 12.5 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 1.9 |
Betting Trends
- The Pacers are 44-35-3 against the spread this year.
- Indiana is 7-2 as 10-point favorites or more.
- There have been 42 Pacers games (out of 82) that went over the total this season.
- In 75 games this season, Indiana and its opponent have combined for more than 216.5 points.
- Pacers games average 243.5 total points this season, 27 points less than the over/under for this matchup.
- The Bucks’ record against the spread is 35-46-1.
- As a 10-point underdog or greater, Milwaukee has one win ATS (1-1) this year.
- There have been 41 Bucks games (out of 82) that hit the over this season.
- Milwaukee’s games have finished with over 216.5 points scored 66 times this year.
- This season, Bucks games have resulted in an average scoring total of 235.3, which is 18.8 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
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