A game featuring one of the NBA’s best offensive teams against one of the top teams defensively, the Dallas Mavericks (49-30) visit the Miami Heat (44-35) at FTX Arena on April 10, 2024. The Mavericks are fifth in points per game (118.7), and the Heat are fourth in points conceded (108.5). Dallas is a favorite, by 2.5 points. The matchup has a 216.5 point total.
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Mavericks vs. Heat Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | -2.5 | 216.5 |
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Injury Report as of April 10
Mavericks: Greg Brown: Out (Personal), Dereck Lively II: Out (Leg), Josh Green: Out (Ankle)
Heat: Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Terry Rozier: Out (Neck), Duncan Robinson: Out (Back)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Heat (+2.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (216.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Mavericks vs. Heat Stat Rankings
| Mavericks Avg. (Rank) | Heat Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 118.7 (5th) | Points Scored | 110.1 (27th) |
| 115.8 (20th) | Points Allowed | 108.5 (4th) |
| 42.9 (19th) | Rebounds | 42.3 (26th) |
| 9.7 (23rd) | Off. Rebounds | 9.3 (27th) |
| 14.8 (2nd) | 3pt Made | 12.4 (18th) |
| 25.8 (18th) | Assists | 25.7 (20th) |
| 12 (7th) | Turnovers | 11.8 (4th) |
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Mavericks Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 69 | 33.9 | 9.2 | 9.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 4.1 |
| Kyrie Irving | 57 | 25.6 | 5 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2.9 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 76 | 14.8 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 2.7 |
| P.J. Washington | 71 | 12.9 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Daniel Gafford | 27 | 11.3 | 7.2 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0 |
Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 57 | 21.1 | 5.4 | 5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Tyler Herro | 39 | 21 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 3.2 |
| Bam Adebayo | 68 | 19.5 | 10.6 | 4 | 1.1 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 72 | 11.7 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Caleb Martin | 61 | 10 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.2 |
Betting Trends
- The Mavericks’ record against the spread is 47-32-0.
- Dallas is 27-14 as 2.5-point favorites or more.
- Out of 79 Mavericks games so far this season, 36 have gone over the total.
- In 66 games this year, Dallas and its opponent have combined for more than 216.5 points.
- The total for this game is 216.5, and that’s 18 points fewer than the average total in Mavericks games thus far this season.
- The Heat have 39 wins in 79 games against the spread this season.
- Against the spread, as a 2.5-point underdog or greater, Miami is 15-14.
- The Heat have seen 33 of their 79 games go over the point total.
- There have been 41 Miami’s games this year with more than 216.5 points scored.
- The average total points scored in Heat games this year (216.5) is 2.1 points higher than the total for this matchup.
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