Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 10, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 10, 2024

The Denver Nuggets (55-24) are favored by 6.5 points as they host the Minnesota Timberwolves (55-24) on April 10, 2024 at Ball Arena. The matchup features two of the top teams in the NBA defending against the 3-pointer. The Nuggets concede just 11.2 treys per game (second in league), and the Timberwolves 11.4 (third). The over/under in this contest is set at 211.5.

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Nuggets -6.5 211.5

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Injury Report as of April 10

Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Aaron Gordon: Out (Foot), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Probable (Right Shoulder), Nikola Jokic: Probable (Hip), Jamal Murray: Probable (Knee), Michael Porter: Probable (Right Knee), Julian Strawther: Probable (Ankle)

Timberwolves: Karl-Anthony Towns: Out (Knee), Jaylen Clark: Out (Achilles)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Timberwolves (+6.5)
Total Pick Over (211.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Nuggets Avg. (Rank) Timberwolves Avg. (Rank)
114.6 (14th) Points Scored 113.2 (18th)
109.5 (6th) Points Allowed 106.2 (1st)
44.5 (7th) Rebounds 43.8 (14th)
10.7 (13th) Off. Rebounds 9.4 (25th)
11.7 (25th) 3pt Made 12.7 (14th)
29.4 (3rd) Assists 26.7 (15th)
11.8 (4th) Turnovers 13.3 (19th)

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Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 76 26.4 12.4 9 1.3 0.9 1.1
Jamal Murray 56 21 4.1 6.6 1 0.7 2.4
Michael Porter Jr. 78 16.8 7 1.5 0.5 0.7 2.8
Reggie Jackson 79 10.2 1.9 3.8 0.5 0.2 1.3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 73 10.2 2.4 2.4 1.3 0.5 1.7

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Anthony Edwards 76 26.3 5.5 5.2 1.3 0.5 2.5
Rudy Gobert 73 13.7 12.9 1.3 0.6 2.1 0
Naz Reid 78 13.4 5.3 1.3 0.8 0.9 2.1
Mike Conley 73 11.2 2.8 6 1.2 0.2 2.3
Jaden McDaniels 69 10.6 3.2 1.4 0.9 0.6 1.2

Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets have beaten the spread 36 times in 79 games.
  • As 6.5-point favorites or more, Denver is 18-18-1 against the spread.
  • Out of 79 Nuggets games so far this year, 32 have hit the over.
  • Denver’s games have had more than 211.5 points scored on 62 occasions this season.
  • The average total for Nuggets games this season has been 224.1, which is 12.6 points higher than the total for this game.
  • Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 40-37-2 this season.
  • Minnesota is yet to lose ATS (2-0) as a 6.5-point underdog or more this year.
  • The Timberwolves have played 79 games this season, and 39 of them have gone over the total.
  • Minnesota’s games have finished with over 211.5 points scored 55 times this season.
  • The average total for Timberwolves games is 219.4 points, which is 7.9 more than this game’s over/under.

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