The New England Patriots (3-10) host the Kansas City Chiefs (8-5) at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, December 17, 2023, and best bets information is available.
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Spread: Chiefs (-8.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Chiefs favored by 8.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (10 points).
- Kansas City’s ATS record is 7-6-0 this season.
- The Chiefs are 3-1 as 8.5-point favorites or more.
- Kansas City has covered the spread once in its last three contests while putting up a 1-2 record straight-up in those games.
- New England is 3-10-0 against the spread this year.
- New England is 1-2 against the spread over its last three games, and has a 1-2 straight-up record in those contests.
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Total: Under 39.5
- The model projects a total 2.5 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- New England has played in five games this season where they combined with their opponents to score more than 39.5 points.
- So far this season, four out of the Chiefs’ 13 games have hit the over.
- So far this season, four out of the Patriots’ 13 games with a set over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Chiefs (-440)
- Prediction:
Kansas City 24 – New England 14 - Kansas City has been the moneyline favorite 12 total times this season. They’ve gone 7-5 in those games.
- New England has been an underdog in nine games this season and won two (22.2%) of those contests.
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Chiefs and Patriots Splits
| Chiefs | Patriots | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-5 | 3-9 |
| At Home | 3-3 | 1-5 |
| On the Road | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| In Conference | 5-2 | 3-4 |
| In Division | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| One Possession Games | 3-4 | 3-6 |
| Indoor | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Outdoor | 6-5 | 3-8 |
Want more information about this game? Check out the full preview here!
Patrick Mahomes II Passing Yards: Under 255.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 3,398 PASS YDS / 261.4 YPG / 66.9% / 23 TD / 11 INT
- In Chiefs’ Last 5 Games: 1,141 PASS YDS / 228.2 YPG / 63.9% / 8 TD / 3 INT
- In Chiefs’ Last 3 Games: 779 PASS YDS / 259.7 YPG / 66.4% / 4 TD / 2 INT
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Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards: Under 59.5 (-110)
- 2023 Season: 134 CAR / 497 YDS / 38.2 YPG / 2 TD
- In Patriots’ Last 5 Games: 67 CAR / 237 YDS / 47.4 YPG / 0 TD
- In Patriots’ Last 3 Games: 67 CAR / 237 YDS / 47.4 YPG / 0 TD
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Travis Kelce Receiving Yards: Under 65.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 80 REC / 896 YDS / 74.7 YPG / 5 TD
- In Chiefs’ Last 5 Games: 26 REC / 313 YDS / 62.6 YPG / 1 TD
- In Chiefs’ Last 3 Games: 16 REC / 255 YDS / 85 YPG / 0 TD
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