Lions vs. Buccaneers: NFL Playoffs Predictions, Betting Trends and Stats

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 16, 2024 - Last Updated on September 25, 2024

A playoff matchup pits the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) against the Detroit Lions (12-5) in the NFC Divisional round on January 21 at 3:00 PM ET at Ford Field.

The Buccaneers are 6.5-point underdogs against the Lions (the game has an over/under of 49 points).

The betting trends in the article below are based off odds valid as of January 19, 2024 at 12:12 AM ET. Keep scrolling for a look at all of the latest odds for this contest and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Lions Vs Buccaneers Odds

Favorite Spread Over/Under
Lions -6.5 49

Lions vs. Buccaneers Predictions

Computer picks for Lions vs Buccaneers
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Lions (-6.5) Under (49)

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Team Stat Rankings

Lions Buccaneers
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 27.1 (5) 20.5 (20)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 23.2 (23) 19.1 (7)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.9 (3) 5.1 (19)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.5 (24) 5.4 (20)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 23 (19) 18 (6)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 23 (18) 26 (12)

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Lions Betting Insights

  • The Lions were 12-5-0 against the spread during the season and are 0-1-0 ATS in the postseason.
  • Detroit has won twice ATS (2-2) as a 6.5-point or bigger favorite this year (regular season and playoffs).
  • In the regular season, 11 of the Lions’ 17 games hit the over. They are zero of one in terms of exceeding the over/under in the playoffs.
  • The over/under in this game is 49 points, 1.8 higher than the average total in Detroit games in the regular season.

Buccaneers Betting Insights

  • Buccaneers posted a 11-6-0 record against the spread in the regular season, and are 1-0-0 in the playoffs.
  • Tampa Bay has covered every time (2-0) as a 6.5-point or greater underdog in the regular season and playoffs.
  • The Buccaneers had six of their 17 games go over the point total in the regular season, and zero of one in the playoffs.
  • During the regular season and playoffs, three Tampa Bay games have featured more than 49 points scored.
  • Buccaneers games averaged 41.3 total points in the regular season, 7.7 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Lions Players to Watch

  • Jared Goff has thrown for 4,575 yards (269.1 ypg) to lead Detroit, completing 67.3% of his passes and tossing 30 touchdown passes compared to 12 interceptions this season.
  • The team’s top rusher, David Montgomery, has carried the ball 219 times for 1,015 yards (72.5 per game), scoring 13 times.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has carried the ball 182 times for 945 yards (63.0 per game) and 10 touchdowns while also racking up 316 yards through the air, scoring one time.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown leads his squad with 1,515 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 119 catches (out of 164 targets) and scored 10 touchdowns.
  • Sam LaPorta has hauled in 86 receptions totaling 889 yards, finding the end zone 10 times as a receiver this campaign.
  • Josh Reynolds’ 40 receptions are good enough for 608 yards and five touchdowns.
  • Aidan Hutchinson paces the team with 11.5 sacks, and also has 14.0 TFL, 51 tackles, and one interception.
  • Detroit’s leading tackler, Alex Anzalone, has 129 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and 3.0 sacks this year.
  • Kerby Joseph has picked off a team-high four passes. He also has 80 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 11 passes defended to his name.

Buccaneers Players to Watch

  • Baker Mayfield leads Tampa Bay with 4,044 yards on 364-of-566 passing with 28 touchdowns compared to 10 interceptions this season.
  • Rachaad White has been handed the ball 272 times for a team-high 990 yards (58.2 per game) with six touchdowns. He also leads the team through the air, as his 64 receptions this season are good for 549 yards, and he’s scored three touchdowns in the passing game.
  • Chase Edmonds has collected 176 yards (on 49 carries).
  • Mike Evans has collected 79 receptions this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 1,255 (73.8 yards per game). He’s been targeted 135 times and has 13 touchdowns.
  • Chris Godwin has caught 83 passes and compiled 1,024 receiving yards (60.2 per game) with two touchdowns.
  • Yaya Diaby leads the team with 7.5 sacks, and also has 12.0 TFL and 39 tackles.
  • Lavonte David is the team’s top-tackler this year. He’s totaled 133 tackles, 17.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks.
  • Antoine Winfield Jr. has picked off a team-high three passes. He also has 122 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 6.0 sacks, and 12 passes defended to his name.

How to Bet on Lions vs Buccaneers

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