Ravens vs. Chiefs: NFL Playoffs Predictions, Betting Trends and Stats

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 22, 2024

The Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) will look to go on the road and win in the playoffs against the Baltimore Ravens (13-4) in the AFC Championship game on January 28 at 3:00 PM ET at M&T Bank Stadium.

The Ravens are favored (-4) over the Chiefs. The total is set at 44.5 points.

The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of January 27, 2024 at 12:12 AM ET. Head to the article below for the latest lines for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Ravens Vs Chiefs Odds

Favorite Spread Over/Under
Ravens -4 44.5

Ravens vs. Chiefs Predictions

Computer picks for Ravens vs Chiefs
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Ravens (-4) Under (44.5)

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Team Stat Rankings

Ravens Chiefs
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 28.4 (4) 21.8 (15)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 16.5 (1) 17.3 (2)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.9 (3) 5.5 (9)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 4.6 (1) 4.7 (4)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 19 (12) 28 (23)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 31 (1) 17 (27)

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Ravens Betting Insights

  • The Ravens covered the spread 11 times in 17 games during the regular season. In the playoffs, they have a record of 1-0-0 against the spread.
  • Against the spread as 4-point or better favorites, Baltimore is 6-5 in the regular season and playoffs.
  • The Ravens had eight of their 17 games hit the over during the regular season. Meanwhile, they have exceeded the over in zero of one game in the postseason.
  • The over/under in this game is 44.5 points, 1.3 higher than the average total in Baltimore games in the regular season.

Chiefs Betting Insights

  • Against the spread, the Chiefs were 9-7-1 during the regular season and are 2-0-0 in the playoffs.
  • The Chiefs had five of their 17 games hit the over in the regular season, and one of two in the playoffs.
  • Kansas City games have finished with over 44.5 points scored six times between the regular season and playoffs.
  • In the regular season, Chiefs games resulted in an average scoring total of 45.9, which is 1.4 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Ravens Players to Watch

  • Lamar Jackson has been a dual threat for Baltimore this season. He has 3,678 passing yards, completing 67.2% of his passes and throwing 24 touchdown passes and seven interceptions this season. He’s rushed for 821 yards (51.3 ypg) on 148 carries with five rushing touchdowns.
  • Gus Edwards has racked up 810 yards on 198 attempts, scoring 13 times.
  • Zay Flowers leads his squad with 858 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 77 receptions (out of 108 targets) and scored five touchdowns.
  • Odell Beckham Jr. has hauled in 35 receptions totaling 565 yards, finding the end zone three times as a receiver this campaign.
  • Mark Andrews’ 45 grabs have turned into 544 yards and six touchdowns.
  • Justin Madubuike has racked up 13.0 sacks to lead the team, while also picking up 12.0 TFL and 56 tackles.
  • Baltimore’s leading tackler, Roquan Smith, has 158 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception this year.
  • Geno Stone leads the team with seven interceptions, while also recording 66 tackles and nine passes defended.

Chiefs Players to Watch

  • Patrick Mahomes II has thrown for 4,183 yards on 401-of-597 passing with 27 touchdowns and 14 interceptions this season. He has chipped on the ground, as well, with 389 yards.
  • Isiah Pacheco has rushed for 935 yards on 205 carries this year while scoring seven times on the ground. He’s also tacked on 44 catches, totaling 244 yards and two touchdowns in the passing game.
  • Travis Kelce leads his team with 984 receiving yards on 93 catches with five touchdowns.
  • Rashee Rice has 79 receptions (on 102 targets) for a total of 938 yards (58.6 yards per game) and seven touchdowns this year.
  • Justin Watson’s 53 targets have resulted in 27 catches for 460 yards and three touchdowns.
  • George Karlaftis has 10.5 sacks to pace the team, and also has 7.0 TFL and 47 tackles.
  • Justin Reid is the team’s leading tackler this year. He’s totaled 95 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 3.0 sacks, and one interception.
  • L’Jarius Sneed has a team-leading two interceptions to go along with 78 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 14 passes defended.

How to Bet on Ravens vs Chiefs

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