The AFC Divisional round of the NFL Playoffs will see the Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) and Buffalo Bills (11-6) clash at Highmark Stadium on January 21 at 6:30 PM ET.
The Chiefs have a shot as underdogs (+2.5) against the Bills (the game has a total of 45.5 points).
The insights in the article below reflect odds as of January 19, 2024 at 12:12 AM ET. Keep scrolling for a look at all of the latest odds for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Bills Vs Chiefs Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bills | -2.5 | 45.5 |
Bills vs. Chiefs Predictions
| ATS pick | Over/Under pick |
|---|---|
| Bills (-2.5) | Under (45.5) |
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Team Stat Rankings
| Bills | Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 26.5 (6) | 21.8 (15) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 18.3 (4) | 17.3 (2) |
| Off. Yards per Play (Rank) | 5.7 (5) | 5.5 (9) |
| Def. Yards per Play (Rank) | 5.1 (10) | 4.7 (4) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 28 (23) | 28 (23) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 30 (3) | 17 (27) |
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Bills Betting Insights
- The Bills’ record against the spread during the season was 7-10-0. They are 1-0-0 versus the spread in the playoffs.
- Buffalo owns an ATS record of 7-8 as 2.5-point or greater favorites in the regular season and playoffs.
- There were six Bills games (out of 17) that exceeded the point total during the season, and they have had one of one playoff game hit the over.
- The point total average for Buffalo games in the regular season was 46.1, 0.6 more points than the over/under for this matchup.
Chiefs Betting Insights
- Against the spread, the Chiefs were 9-7-1 during the regular season and are 1-0-0 in the playoffs.
- Kansas City has covered every time (1-0) as a 2.5-point or greater underdog in the regular season and playoffs.
- The Chiefs had five of their 17 games hit the over in the regular season, and zero of one in the playoffs.
- During the regular season and playoffs, five Kansas City games have featured over 45.5 points scored.
- In the regular season, Chiefs games resulted in an average scoring total of 45.9, which is 0.4 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
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Bills Players to Watch
- Josh Allen has been a dual threat for Buffalo this season. He has 4,306 passing yards, completing 66.5% of his passes and recording 29 touchdown passes and 18 interceptions this season. He’s rushed for 524 yards (30.8 ypg) on 111 carries with 15 rushing touchdowns.
- James Cook has carried the ball 237 times for a team-high 1,122 yards on the ground and has found the end zone two times. He’s also tacked on 44 catches for 445 yards (26.2 per game) and four touchdowns via the passing game.
- Stefon Diggs’ 1,183 yards as a receiver lead the team. He’s been targeted 160 times and has totaled 107 receptions and eight touchdowns.
- Gabriel Davis has put up a 746-yard season with seven touchdowns, hauling in 45 passes on 81 targets.
- Dalton Kincaid’s 73 grabs have yielded 673 yards and two touchdowns.
- Leonard Floyd has 10.5 sacks to pace the team, and also has 9.0 TFL and 32 tackles.
- Terrel Bernard is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s collected 143 tackles, 10.0 TFL, 6.5 sacks, and three interceptions.
- Rasul Douglas has picked off a team-leading five passes. He also has 61 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and 14 passes defended to his name.
Chiefs Players to Watch
- Patrick Mahomes II has been a dual threat for Kansas City this season. He has 4,183 passing yards (261.4 per game) while completing 67.2% of his passes. He’s tossed 27 touchdown passes and 14 interceptions this season. On the ground, he’s compiled 389 yards (24.3 ypg) on 75 carries.
- The team’s top rusher, Isiah Pacheco, has carried the ball 205 times for 935 yards (66.8 per game) with seven touchdowns. He’s also caught 44 passes for 244 yards and two touchdowns.
- Travis Kelce’s 984 receiving yards (65.6 yards per game) are best on his team. He has 93 catches on 121 targets with five touchdowns.
- Rashee Rice has 79 receptions (on 102 targets) for a total of 938 yards (58.6 yards per game) and seven touchdowns this year.
- Justin Watson’s 53 targets have resulted in 27 receptions for 460 yards and three touchdowns.
- Chris Jones paces the team with 10.5 sacks, and also has 13.0 TFL and 30 tackles.
- Kansas City’s leading tackler, Justin Reid, has 95 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 3.0 sacks, and one interception this year.
- L’Jarius Sneed has picked off a team-high two passes. He also has 78 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 14 passes defended to his name.
How to Bet on Bills vs Chiefs
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