Chiefs vs. Patriots Predictions, Betting Trends and Stats – Week 15

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 12, 2023 - Last Updated on September 25, 2024

The New England Patriots (3-10) and their bottom-ranked scoring offense could have trouble moving the ball against the Kansas City Chiefs (8-5), who own the third-ranked defense in the NFL. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, December 17.

The Patriots are 8-point underdogs in their matchup with the Chiefs (the game has an over/under of 37.5 points).

The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of December 17, 2023 at 8:11 AM ET. See below the latest odds for this contest and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Chiefs Vs Patriots Odds

Favorite Spread Over/Under
Chiefs -8 37.5

Chiefs vs. Patriots Predictions

Computer picks for Chiefs vs Patriots
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Chiefs (-8) Under (37.5)

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Team Stat Rankings

Chiefs Patriots
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 22.5 (12) 13.0 (32)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 17.5 (3) 20.9 (13)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.6 (7) 4.7 (28)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 4.9 (5) 4.8 (4)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 22 (26) 21 (23)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 15 (22) 12 (29)

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Chiefs Betting Insights

  • The Chiefs are 7-6-0 against the spread this season.
  • For the season, Kansas City is 3-1 as 8-point or better favorites.
  • The Chiefs have played 13 games this year and four of them have gone over the total.
  • The average total for Kansas City games this season has been 47.7, 10.2 points higher than the total for this game.

Patriots Betting Insights

  • Against the spread, the Patriots are 3-10-0 this season.
  • This season, four of the Patriots’ 13 games have gone over the point total.
  • New England games have finished with over 37.5 points scored seven times this season.
  • The average total for Patriots games is 40.3 points, 2.8 more than this game’s over/under.

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Chiefs Players to Watch

  • Patrick Mahomes II leads Kansas City with 3,398 yards (261.4 ypg) on 326-of-487 passing with 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions this season. He also has 339 rushing yards on 58 carries.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire has racked up 179 yards on 51 carries, scoring one time.
  • Travis Kelce leads his squad with 896 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 80 catches (out of 103 targets) and scored five touchdowns.
  • Rashee Rice has reeled in 59 passes while averaging 51.0 yards per game and scoring six touchdowns.
  • Justin Watson has been the target of 40 passes and racked up 21 catches for 350 yards, an average of 29.2 yards per contest. He’s found the end zone two times through the air this season.
  • George Karlaftis leads the team with 9.0 sacks, and also has 6.0 TFL and 40 tackles.
  • Justin Reid is the team’s top-tackler this year. He’s racked up 74 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and one interception.
  • L’Jarius Sneed leads the team with two interceptions, while also collecting 63 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 11 passes defended.

Patriots Players to Watch

  • Bailey Zappe leads New England with 539 yards on 51-of-92 passing with three touchdowns compared to three interceptions this season.
  • The team’s top rusher, Ezekiel Elliott, has carried the ball 134 times for 497 yards (38.2 per game) with two touchdowns. He’s also caught 31 passes for 226 yards and one touchdown.
  • Mac Jones has collected 96 yards (on 26 attempts).
  • Demario Douglas has totaled 36 catches this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 410 (41.0 yards per game). He’s been targeted 55 times.
  • Hunter Henry has 35 receptions (on 53 targets) for a total of 353 yards (27.2 yards per game) and five touchdowns this year.
  • DeVante Parker’s 39 targets have resulted in 22 receptions for 264 yards.
  • Christian Barmore has racked up 4.5 sacks to pace the team, while also picking up 7.0 TFL and 35 tackles.
  • New England’s leading tackler, Ja’Whaun Bentley, has 85 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 4.0 sacks this year.
  • Jabrill Peppers has a team-high two interceptions to go along with 66 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and seven passes defended.

How to Bet on Chiefs vs Patriots

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