Celtics Vs Heat: Eastern Finals Game 1 Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – May 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 14, 2023

The Miami Heat (44-38) will aim to pull off an upset as 8.5-point underdogs heading into Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals, and will face off against the Boston Celtics at TD Garden on Wednesday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The matchup’s point total is set at 211.5.

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Celtics Vs Heat Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Celtics -8.5 211.5

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Injury Report as of May 17

Celtics: None

Heat: Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee), Tyler Herro: Out (Hand)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Celtics (-8.5)
Total Pick Over (211.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Celtics Vs Heat Stat Rankings

Celtics Avg. (Rank) Heat Avg. (Rank)
117.9 (4th) Points Scored 109.5 (30th)
111.4 (4th) Points Allowed 109.8 (2nd)
45.3 (7th) Rebounds 40.6 (27th)
9.7 (20th) Off. Rebounds 9.7 (20th)
16.0 (2nd) 3pt Made 12.0 (16th)
26.7 (7th) Assists 23.8 (25th)
12.7 (7th) Turnovers 12.8 (9th)

Best Betting Site For Celtics vs Heat

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Celtics Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jayson Tatum 74 30.1 8.8 4.6 1.1 0.7 3.2
Jaylen Brown 67 26.6 6.9 3.5 1.1 0.4 2.4
Malcolm Brogdon 67 14.9 4.2 3.7 0.7 0.3 2.0
Derrick White 82 12.4 3.6 3.9 0.7 0.9 1.8
Marcus Smart 61 11.5 3.1 6.3 1.5 0.4 1.9

Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jimmy Butler 64 22.9 5.9 5.3 1.8 0.3 0.6
Bam Adebayo 75 20.4 9.2 3.2 1.2 0.8 0.0
Max Strus 80 11.5 3.2 2.1 0.5 0.2 2.5
Kyle Lowry 55 11.2 4.1 5.1 1.0 0.4 1.9
Caleb Martin 71 9.6 4.8 1.6 1.0 0.4 1.2

Betting Trends

  • The Celtics are 45-36-1 against the spread this season.
  • Against the spread as 8.5-point favorites or more, Boston is 16-14.
  • There have been 39 Celtics games (out of 82) that hit the over this year.
  • In 65 games this year, Boston and its opponent have combined to score more than 211.5 points.
  • Celtics games average 229.4 total points per game this season, 17.9 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Heat’s record against the spread is 30-49-3.
  • Miami has one win ATS (1-1) as a 8.5-point underdog or more this year.
  • This season, 41 of the Heat’s 82 games have hit the over.
  • Miami’s games have finished with over 211.5 points scored 57 times this year.
  • The average total points scored in Heat games this year (211.5) is 7.8 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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