The Denver Nuggets and the Los Angeles Lakers take the court to tip off the Western Conference Finals. The Nuggets are listed as favorites by 6.5 points for the game, which will be broadcast on ESPN at 8:30 PM ET. The matchup’s point total is set at 222.5.
Our computer predictions below will help you pick what are the best bets available for Tuesday’s game.
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Spread: Lakers (+6.5) to Cover
- The line for this game set by DraftKings and the model’s prediction are essentially the same (within 0.4 points of each other).
- Los Angeles has a 40-40-2 record against the spread this year.
- The Lakers have been an underdog by 6.5 points or more 19 times this season, and covered the spread in six of those matchups.
- Denver has a 44-37-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Nuggets have been favored by 6.5 points or more 29 times this season, and covered the spread in 14 of those games.
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Total: Over 222.5
- The model predicts a total (229.7 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (222.5 points). Take the over.
- In 56 games this year, Denver and its opponent have combined for more than 222.5 points.
- Los Angeles’ games have gone over 222.5 points on 58 occasions this year.
- Nuggets games have gone over the point total 37 out of 82 times this season.
- So far this season, 43 out of the Lakers’ 82 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Nuggets (-255)
- Prediction: Nuggets 118, Lakers 112
- Denver has entered the game as favorites 61 times this season and won 43, or 70.5%, of those games.
- Los Angeles has been an underdog in 51 games this season and has come away with the win 23 times (45.1%) in those contests.
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Jamal Murray Rebounds Prop: Over 4.5
- Jamal Murray posts 20.0 points, 4.0 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game, shooting 45.4% from the field and 39.8% from beyond the arc with 2.6 made 3-pointers per game.
- His rebounding average — 4.0 per game — is 0.5 less than his prop bet for Tuesday’s game (4.5).
- He has recorded more rebounds than his total in 30 of his 58 games with a prop set this season.
- The Lakers are sixth in the league in rebounds per game (45.7) and 25th in rebounds allowed (44.9).
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Anthony Davis Rebounds Prop: Under 13.5
- Anthony Davis generates 25.9 points, 12.5 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game for the Lakers.
- Davis’ rebounding average — 12.5 — is 1.0 lower than his over/under on Tuesday.
- Bookmakers have listed a rebound over/under for him 53 times this season, and he has gone over in 31 of those games.
- With 40.8 rebounds allowed per game, the Nuggets rank best in the league. They rank 18th in the league by averaging 43 boards per contest.
Check out the prop bets available for Anthony Davis and other Lakers players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
All stats in this article refer to the 2022-23 regular season.
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