The New York Knicks will look to overcome the odds as 6-point underdogs in a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Miami Heat at FTX Arena on Friday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN. The Heat are on top 3-2 in the series. The point total in the matchup is set at 205.5.
Dig into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) for Friday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the contest.
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Spread: Knicks (+6) to Cover
- The Heat are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (6 to 0.8 points). Take the Knicks and the points.
- New York is 45-36-1 against the spread this season.
- The Knicks have covered the spread twice when an underdog by 6 points or more this year (in eight opportunities).
- So far this season, Miami has put together a 30-49-3 record against the spread.
- The Heat are 4-16-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 6-point favorites.
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Total: Over 205.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (17.4 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- Miami and its opponent have broken the 205.5-point mark 65 times this year.
- So far this year, 71 New York’s games have featured over 205.5 points scored.
- A total of 41 out of the Heat’s 82 games this season have gone over the point total.
- The Knicks and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 42 out of 82 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Heat (-245)
- Prediction: Heat 112, Knicks 111
- Miami has entered the game as favorites 58 times this season and won 36, or 62.1%, of those games.
- New York has won in 20, or 50%, of the 40 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Bam Adebayo Rebounds Prop: Under 8.5
- Bam Adebayo puts up 20.4 points, 3.2 assists and 9.2 rebounds per game.
- Adebayo’s per-game rebound average of 9.2 is 0.7 more than his prop bet over/under in Friday’s game (8.5).
- He has gone over his rebound total in 31 of 71 games with a prop so far this season.
- On the boards, the Knicks are second-best in the NBA in rebounds (46.6 per game). They are seventh in rebounds allowed (42.0 per game).
See all available player props for Bam Adebayo and other Heat players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
All stats in this article refer to the 2022-23 regular season.
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